9 September 2026, 19:00 UTC

Charlton vs QPR Championship prediction & result

The Valley, London
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Charlton 0-0 QPR.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% Charlton, 29% draw, 31% QPR — fair odds of 2.50, 3.45 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Charlton at 40% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Charlton4%Draw93%QPR3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

36'
🔁Tariq Lampteyout: Dennis Cirkin
45+3'
Julien Stéphan
🔁Miles Leaburnout: Joe Rankin-Costello
45'
48'
🔁Jimmy Dunneout: Jake Clarke-Salter
🔁sonny careyout: Micah Mbick
65'
74'
Kealey Adamson
76'
Jake Clarke-Salter
79'
🔁Kealey Adamsonout: Amadou Salif Mbengue
79'
🔁Paul Smythout: Justin Obikwu
79'
🔁Alfie Lloydout: Leon Scarlett
🔁Oliver Skippout: Alan Mwamba
85'
🔁Tyreece Campbellout: Millenic Alli
88'

Match stats — Charlton vs QPR

28%Possession72%
9Shots15
0On target2
5Corners12

Line-ups

Charlton 4-2-3-1
  • 13A. OkonkwoG
  • 18I. MesíkD
  • 5L. JonesD
  • 44Tyler BindonD
  • 17A. BellD
  • 6C. CoventryM
  • 34O. SkippM
  • 9K. Ahearne-GrantM
  • 14S. CareyM
  • 7T. CampbellM
  • 11M. LeaburnF
Substitutes
  • 19M. AlliF
  • 21T. BrooksG
  • 8H. KnibbsM
  • 33Micah MbickF
  • 32A. MwambaD
  • 16T. OumaM
  • 26J. Rankin-CostelloM
  • 38J. LaqueretabuaM
  • 35Junior NkengF
Coach: N. Jones
QPR 4-4-2
  • 1P. CharlesG
  • 2K. AdamsonD
  • 3J. DunneD
  • 5R. EdwardsD
  • 48T. LampteyD
  • 20H. ValeM
  • 18G. KamaraM
  • 24N. MadsenM
  • 11P. SmythM
  • 15A. LloydF
  • 16R. BurrellF
Substitutes
  • 23I. AlemayehuM
  • 19D. CirkinD
  • 6J. Clarke-SalterD
  • 27A. MbengueD
  • 4L. MorrisonD
  • 25Justin Patrick Nnamdi ObikwuF
  • 40J. VaraneM
  • 13C. WardG
  • 33Leon ScarlettF
Coach: Julien Stéphan

Form going into Charlton vs QPR

Charlton

  • L0-4away to Stoke City5 September 2026
  • D1-1away to West Brom2 September 2026
  • W1-0Preston29 August 2026

QPR

  • L0-1Middlesbrough5 September 2026
  • W2-1Cardiff2 September 2026
  • W2-1away to Blackburn29 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Charlton733167-112
5QPR733185+312

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Charlton vs QPR

  • 9 September 2026Charlton 0–0 QPRChampionship
  • 6 February 2026Charlton 0–0 QPRChampionship
  • 30 August 2025QPR 3–1 CharltonChampionship
  • 9 August 2022Charlton 1–1 QPRLeague Cup
  • 27 June 2020Charlton 1–0 QPRChampionship
  • 21 December 2019QPR 2–2 CharltonChampionship

Leading scorers: Charlton and QPR

Charlton

  • Tyreece Anthony Tupac Shakur Campbell3 goals

QPR

No player in Championship's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.