Charlton vs QPR Championship prediction & result
Final score: Charlton 0-0 QPR.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Charlton, 29% draw, 31% QPR — fair odds of 2.50, 3.45 and 3.23.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Championship predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Charlton at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Charlton vs QPR
Line-ups
- 13A. OkonkwoG
- 18I. MesíkD
- 5L. JonesD
- 44Tyler BindonD
- 17A. BellD
- 6C. CoventryM
- 34O. SkippM
- 9K. Ahearne-GrantM
- 14S. CareyM
- 7T. CampbellM
- 11M. LeaburnF
- 19M. AlliF
- 21T. BrooksG
- 8H. KnibbsM
- 33Micah MbickF
- 32A. MwambaD
- 16T. OumaM
- 26J. Rankin-CostelloM
- 38J. LaqueretabuaM
- 35Junior NkengF
- 1P. CharlesG
- 2K. AdamsonD
- 3J. DunneD
- 5R. EdwardsD
- 48T. LampteyD
- 20H. ValeM
- 18G. KamaraM
- 24N. MadsenM
- 11P. SmythM
- 15A. LloydF
- 16R. BurrellF
- 23I. AlemayehuM
- 19D. CirkinD
- 6J. Clarke-SalterD
- 27A. MbengueD
- 4L. MorrisonD
- 25Justin Patrick Nnamdi ObikwuF
- 40J. VaraneM
- 13C. WardG
- 33Leon ScarlettF
Form going into Charlton vs QPR
Charlton
All competitions we cover
- L0-4away to Stoke City5 September 2026
- D1-1away to West Brom2 September 2026
- W1-0Preston29 August 2026
- W2-1away to West Ham22 August 2026
- W2-1Derby15 August 2026
QPR
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Middlesbrough5 September 2026
- W2-1Cardiff2 September 2026
- W2-1away to Blackburn29 August 2026
- D0-0Bolton22 August 2026
- W3-1away to Portsmouth15 August 2026
What these results say
- Charlton scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Charlton conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- QPR conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Charlton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 17 |
| 8 | QPR | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 24 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Charlton vs QPR
- 6 February 2026Charlton 0–0 QPRChampionship
- 30 August 2025QPR 3–1 CharltonChampionship
- 9 August 2022Charlton 1–1 QPRLeague Cup
- 27 June 2020Charlton 1–0 QPRChampionship
- 21 December 2019QPR 2–2 CharltonChampionship
Leading scorers: Charlton and QPR
Charlton
No player in Championship's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.
QPR
GoalsAssists
- R. Kone51
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Charlton and QPR drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Charlton at 40% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.