1 November 2026, 15:00 UTC

Huachipato vs Deportes La Serena Primera División prediction & result

Las Higueras, Talcahuano
Referee: Miguel Araos
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Huachipato 0-0 Deportes La Serena.

Before kick-off the model made it 45% Huachipato, 25% draw, 30% Deportes La Serena — fair odds of 2.22, 4.00 and 3.33.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Huachipato at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Huachipato7%Draw90%Deportes La Serena3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Claudio Sepúlveda
32'
Lionel Altamirano
35'
48'
•G. Figueroa
48'
G. Figueroa
53'
🔁Gonzalo Escalanteout: Felipe Chamorro
61'
Felipe Chamorro
61'
•Felipe Chamorro
62'
🔁Diego Rubioout: Bruno Gutierrez
63'
🔁F. Dinamarcaout: Yahir Salazar
🔁Benjamín Andres Mellado Aedoout: Kevin Altez
68'
🔁Lionel Altamiranoout: Cris Martinez
78'
78'
🔁Jeisson Vargasout: Ángelo Henríquez
🔁H. Antiñirreout: Claudio Torres
84'
🔁Sergio Nunezout: Ezequiel Martin Canete
84'
86'
Francis Mac Allister

Match stats — Huachipato vs Deportes La Serena

58%Possession42%
22Shots9
5On target1
5Corners3
1.61xG0.53

Goals against chances

Huachipato0 from 1.61 xGless than the chances were worth
Deportes La Serena0 from 0.53 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Huachipato 3-4-1-2
  • 12C. BravoG
  • 20C. ToroD
  • 5R. CarocaD
  • 3B. MelladoD
  • 7M. BriceñoM
  • 24M. LeónM
  • 6C. SepúlvedaM
  • 26H. AntiñirreM
  • 9L. AltamiranoM
  • 19S. NúñezF
  • 15M. RodríguezF
Substitutes
  • 10E. CañeteM
  • 11J. FigueroaF
  • 2N. GuaiquilD
  • 21C. HerreraM
  • 23C. MartínezF
  • 1S. MellaG
  • 29C. TorresM
  • 16L. ArriagadaF
  • 30K. AltezM
Coach: J. García
Deportes La Serena 4-1-4-1
  • 31J. TapiaG
  • 34I. RassoD
  • 5L. AlarcónD
  • 33R. DelgadoD
  • 26F. DinamarcaD
  • 4F. Mac AllisterM
  • 23M. MarínM
  • 11D. RubioM
  • 8G. EscalanteM
  • 10J. VargasM
  • 2G. FigueroaF
Substitutes
  • 6S. DiazM
  • 14F. ChamorroM
  • 21B. GutiérrezD
  • 9Á. HenríquezF
  • 20Milovan VelasquezM
  • 28Y. SalazarM
  • 7A. OrozF
  • 17Y. SalazarD
  • 38I. SáezG
Coach: Felipe Gutiérrez

Form going into Huachipato vs Deportes La Serena

Huachipato

Primera División

  • D1-1away to Audax Italiano23 October 2026
  • W2-0O'Higgins10 October 2026
  • W2-0away to Universidad de Concepcion2 October 2026

Deportes La Serena

Primera División

  • W3-1Concepción24 October 2026
  • L2-3away to Everton de Vina11 October 2026
  • L0-3Universidad de Chile13 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Chile Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11Huachipato2696113441-733
9Deportes La Serena2791084042-237

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Huachipato vs Deportes La Serena

  • 26 April 2026Deportes La Serena 0–0 HuachipatoPrimera División
  • 24 August 2025Deportes La Serena 0–2 HuachipatoPrimera División
  • 30 March 2025Huachipato 3–1 Deportes La SerenaPrimera División
  • 14 August 2022Deportes La Serena 0–1 HuachipatoPrimera División
  • 20 March 2022Huachipato 2–3 Deportes La SerenaPrimera División
  • 29 October 2021Deportes La Serena 2–2 HuachipatoPrimera División

Leading scorers: Huachipato and Deportes La Serena

Huachipato

GoalsAssists

  • L. Altamirano91

Deportes La Serena

GoalsAssists

  • J. Vargas87
  • F. Chamorro73

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Huachipato and Deportes La Serena drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Huachipato at 45% and given a draw 25%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. Sent off: G. Figueroa (Deportes La Serena) 48'. On expected goals it finished 1.61–0.53.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.