Huddersfield vs Exeter City FA Cup prediction & result
Final score: Huddersfield 1-2 Exeter City.
Before kick-off the model made it 54% Huddersfield, 28% draw, 18% Exeter City — fair odds of 1.85, 3.57 and 5.56.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Huddersfield at 54%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Huddersfield vs Exeter City
Line-ups
- 1M. YoungG
- 12R. BalkerD
- 5J. LowD
- 15I. BowatD
- 7L. GoochM
- 4R. LedsonM
- 20C. HumphreysM
- 27J. Smith-SwayM
- 10M. HarnessM
- 34S. TovideM
- 11A. FletcherF
- 9J. TaylorF
- 31J. AlnwickG
- 24C. AshiaM
- 14E. BrierleyM
- 18D. KasumuM
- 19B. MumbaD
- 23S. RoughanD
- 30D. Sanches FernandesF
- 2L. SørensenD
- 1J. BycroftG
- 2L. SamuelD
- 6J. TaylorD
- 40E. JamesD
- 3L. WoodhouseD
- 14H. KiteM
- 16C. CumminsM
- 20George BirchM
- 12R. ColeM
- 23Ethan SutherlandM
- 19S. CoxF
- 18Liam OakesD
- 8T. PerryM
- 22Frankie PhillipsG
- 24V. HarperD
- 10J. GordonF
- 15Ajay MatthewsF
- 44George WilliamsM
- 46L. CaylessD
Form going into Huddersfield vs Exeter City
Huddersfield
League One
- D1-1Luton3 November 2026
- W3-0away to Bradford31 October 2026
- W2-1Wigan24 October 2026
- W4-1Peterborough20 October 2026
- W2-0away to Plymouth17 October 2026
Exeter City
League Two
- L1-2away to Salford City31 October 2026
- W2-1Fleetwood Town24 October 2026
- W2-0Crewe20 October 2026
- D0-0away to Colchester17 October 2026
What these results say
- Huddersfield went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Huddersfield scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Huddersfield won 4 of these 5 matches.
- Exeter City scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Huddersfield and Exeter City in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield | League One | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 12 | +16 | 29 |
| 8 | Exeter City | League Two | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 22 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: League One · League Two
Head-to-head: Huddersfield vs Exeter City
- 4 January 2026Huddersfield 2–2 Exeter CityLeague One
- 27 September 2025Exeter City 0–1 HuddersfieldLeague One
- 26 April 2025Exeter City 3–1 HuddersfieldLeague One
- 26 October 2024Huddersfield 2–0 Exeter CityLeague One
- 25 February 2012Huddersfield 2–0 Exeter CityLeague One
- 15 October 2011Exeter City 0–4 HuddersfieldLeague One
Leading scorers: Huddersfield and Exeter City
Huddersfield
GoalsAssists
- J. Taylor102
- D. Sanches Fernandes76
Exeter City
No player in League Two's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Exeter City won 2–1 at Huddersfield. The model had leaned towards a win for Huddersfield at 54% and given a win for Exeter City 18%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 6 matches like this one. The goals: Jack Paul Taylor 12' for Exeter City, Ibane Bowat 54' for Huddersfield, Charlie Cummins 81' for Exeter City.
How the call on Huddersfield v Exeter City has moved
First published on 24 Oct at 50% / 31% / 19% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 54% / 28% / 18%: the biggest move is Huddersfield's chance of winning, up 4 points.
- Huddersfield win54%▲ +4
- Draw28%▼ −3
- Exeter City win18%▼ −1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.