18 October 2026, 11:00 UTC

Hvidovre vs Hillerød 1. Division prediction & result

Hvidovre Stadium, Hvidovre
Referee: F. Klarlund
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Hvidovre 1-0 Hillerød.

Before kick-off the model made it 55% Hvidovre, 25% draw, 20% Hillerød — fair odds of 1.82, 4.00 and 5.00.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Hvidovre at 55%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Hvidovre97%Draw3%Hillerød0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

16'
M. Julo
40'
S. Opoku
🔁O. Jensen Juulout: N. Huygevelde
41'
⚽O. Jensenassist: O. Kjaergaard
44'
58'
🔁T. Arndalout: J. Sigurdsson
N. Huygevelde
62'
66'
🔁B. Kucukylidizout: M. Munck
66'
🔁H. Sulemanaout: R. Corlu
🔁D. Bagouout: A. Johansen
69'
🔁A. Smedout: E. Aby
70'
🔁O. Jensenout: A. Okosun
70'
77'
🔁S. Opokuout: P. Kallsberg
77'
🔁M. Juloout: A. Oppenhagen
🔁L. Pripout: M. Knudsen
84'
M. Kiilerich
90+4'
90+4'
W. Glindtvad

Form going into Hvidovre vs Hillerød

Hvidovre

1. Division

  • W2-1away to Vejle9 October 2026

Hillerød

1. Division

  • L0-2FC Fredericia10 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Denmark 1. Division table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Hvidovre149502713+1432
8Hillerød144371821-315

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Hvidovre vs Hillerød

  • 31 May 2026Hillerød 2–1 Hvidovre1. Division
  • 3 April 2026Hvidovre 1–1 Hillerød1. Division
  • 18 October 2025Hillerød 1–1 Hvidovre1. Division
  • 20 September 2025Hvidovre 3–1 Hillerød1. Division
  • 1 November 2024Hillerød 1–0 Hvidovre1. Division
  • 20 August 2024Hvidovre 0–0 Hillerød1. Division

The result against the call

Hvidovre beat Hillerød 1–0. The model had made a win for Hvidovre its most likely outcome, at 55%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goal: O. Jensen 44' for Hvidovre.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Hvidovre a 53.4% chance to finish top of the regular season: 59.8% after a win, 45.9% after a draw, 42.3% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 59.8%, 6.4 points higher than before the match.

For Hillerød the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 40.7% going in: 25.6% after a win, 38.7% after a draw, 45.7% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 45.7%, 5 points higher than before the match.

Read from our 1. Division season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Hvidovre v Hillerød has moved

First published on 6 Oct at 48% / 28% / 24% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 55% / 25% / 20%: the biggest move is Hvidovre's chance of winning, up 7 points.

  1. Hvidovre win55%▲ +7
  2. Draw25%▼ −3
  3. Hillerød win20%▼ −4

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.