18 October 2026, 13:30 UTC

Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Podbrezová Super Liga prediction & result

Referee: B. Kiss
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Dukla Banská Bystrica 1-0 Podbrezová.

Before kick-off the model made it 34% Dukla Banská Bystrica, 27% draw, 39% Podbrezová — fair odds of 2.94, 3.70 and 2.56.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Podbrezová at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Dukla Banská Bystrica4%Draw92%Podbrezová4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

41'
B. Mrvaljevic
46'
🔁K. Miljanicout: F. Momoh
46'
🔁B. Mrvaljevicout: M. Khyminets
54'
S. Stefanik
56'
🔁O. Demlout: R. Paraj
57'
R. Kejval
🔁E. Arevaloout: A. Hanes
70'
🔁J. Povazanecout: T. Slebodnik
70'
74'
•F. Momoh
🔁L. Willweberout: Joao Miranda
77'
77'
🔁S. Stefanikout: L. Silagadze
🔁R. Polievkaout: K. Vallo
85'
🔁M. Gjorgievskiout: V. Toth
85'
89'
🔁V. Chylaout: S. Tijani
⚽M. Bakalaassist: T. Slebodnik
90'
Maik
90+1'
90+1'
L. Silagadze

Line-ups

Dukla Banská Bystrica
  • 31L. Hrosso
  • 42Maik
  • 23M. Bakala
  • 41L. Willweber
  • 13N. Sikula
  • 7J. Povazanec
  • 6D. Richtarech
  • 29E. Arevalo
  • 28M. Gjorgievski
  • 17R. Polievka
  • 57M. Duris
Substitutes
  • 1J. Trefil
  • 11K. Vallo
  • 3A. Adewale
  • 14Joao Miranda
  • 24V. Toth
  • 9T. Slebodnik
  • 73A. Hanes
  • 25E. Okechukwu
Coach: Daniel Valach
Podbrezová
  • 70L. Domanisky
  • 5R. Lampreht
  • 37J. Luka
  • 25R. Kejval
  • 77P. Kovacik
  • 26S. Stefanik
  • 13V. Chyla
  • 8O. Deml
  • 11B. Mrvaljevic
  • 9M. Chrien
  • 27K. Miljanic
Substitutes
  • 41I. Rehak
  • 19S. Saidy
  • 15R. Paraj
  • 66M. Rusnak
  • 6S. Tijani
  • 14M. Khyminets
  • 7L. Silagadze
  • 22F. Momoh
  • 17A. Amoafo
Coach: Stefan Markulik

Form going into Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Podbrezová

Dukla Banská Bystrica

Super Liga

  • W1-0away to AS Trencin10 October 2026

Podbrezová

Super Liga

  • L1-3Spartak Trnava11 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Slovakia Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7Dukla Banská Bystrica144281427-1314
5Podbrezová146262324-120

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Podbrezová

  • 30 January 2026Dukla Banská Bystrica 1–2 PodbrezováFriendlies Clubs
  • 18 January 2025Dukla Banská Bystrica 0–0 PodbrezováFriendlies Clubs
  • 7 December 2024Dukla Banská Bystrica 0–2 PodbrezováSuper Liga
  • 31 August 2024Podbrezová 1–1 Dukla Banská BystricaSuper Liga
  • 27 October 2023Podbrezová 2–2 Dukla Banská BystricaSuper Liga
  • 28 July 2023Dukla Banská Bystrica 1–4 PodbrezováSuper Liga

Leading scorers: Dukla Banská Bystrica and Podbrezová

Dukla Banská Bystrica

No player in Super Liga's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.

Podbrezová

GoalsAssists

  • B. Mrvaljević40
  • M. Chrien40
  • R. Šiler30

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Dukla Banská Bystrica beat Podbrezová 1–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Podbrezová at 39% and given a win for Dukla Banská Bystrica 34%. The goal: M. Bakala 90' for Dukla Banská Bystrica.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Dukla Banská Bystrica a 41.1% chance to finish in the bottom three: 28.5% after a win, 42.8% after a draw, 50.2% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 28.5%, 12.6 points lower than before the match.

For Podbrezová the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 12.7% going in: 17.0% after a win, 10.4% after a draw, 7.8% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 7.8%, 4.9 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Super Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.