Apollon Limassol vs Nea Salamis 1. Division prediction & result
Final score: Apollon Limassol 4-2 Nea Salamis.
Before kick-off the model made it 60% Apollon Limassol, 21% draw, 19% Nea Salamis — fair odds of 1.67, 4.76 and 5.26.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Cypriot First Division predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Apollon Limassol at 60%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 12Gustavo AssunçãoM
- 22P. KühnG
- 27G. WeissbeckM
- 23Brandon ThomasF
- 9A. OžboltF
- 14G. MalekkidesD
- 77I. LjubicD
- 44J. KvídaD
- 37L. KonomisM
- 76Bruno GasparD
- 30Dani EscricheF
- 4E. AiwuD
- 29J. AsoroF
- 38K. BalogiannisD
- 5M. BrownM
- 6C. GoldsonD
- 26A. ShikkisD
- 31K. StylianouG
- 99I. UgboF
- 40Mubarak UthmanF
- 1Alberto VaróG
- 17AldairF
- 19K. AngielskiF
- 4P. ArtymatasD
- 6Georgios ChristodoulouM
- 71G. GerolemouM
- 55Sergio GonzálezD
- 7S. GrandsirM
- 29F. HaninD
- 30A. Panagiotou FiliotisD
- 88Jordi QuintillàM
- 12A. DimitriouD
- 34C. EvangelouF
- 10C. GiousisF
- 14T. Johnson EbohM
- 63D. KovácsG
- 24V. LampropoulosD
- 37B. ManuF
- 5A. MichailD
- 9Darío PovedaF
Form going into Apollon Limassol vs Nea Salamis
Apollon Limassol
1. Division
- W3-1away to Krasava Ypsonas10 October 2026
Nea Salamis
1. Division
- L1-2away to Apoel Nicosia10 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Cyprus 1. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Apollon Limassol | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 11 | +10 | 16 |
| 10 | Nea Salamis | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Apollon Limassol vs Nea Salamis
- 8 March 2025Apollon Limassol 1–1 Nea Salamis1. Division
- 8 December 2024Nea Salamis 1–0 Apollon Limassol1. Division
- 5 September 2024Nea Salamis 3–1 Apollon LimassolFriendlies Clubs
- 13 April 2024Nea Salamis 0–2 Apollon Limassol1. Division
- 4 March 2024Apollon Limassol 2–0 Nea Salamis1. Division
Leading scorers: Apollon Limassol and Nea Salamis
Apollon Limassol
GoalsAssists
- Brandon Thomas41
- A. Ožbolt40
- Garry Rodrigues24
Nea Salamis
GoalsAssists
- S. Grandsir30
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Apollon Limassol beat Nea Salamis 4–2. The model had made a win for Apollon Limassol its most likely outcome, at 60%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Dani Escriche 8' for Apollon Limassol, Brandon Thomas (penalty) 22' for Apollon Limassol, Samuel Grandsir 24' for Nea Salamis, Samuel Grandsir 30' for Nea Salamis, Giorgos Malekkidis 45+2' for Apollon Limassol, Alen Ožbolt 76' for Apollon Limassol.
How the call on Apollon Limassol v Nea Salamis has moved
First published on 3 Oct at 52% / 25% / 23% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 60% / 21% / 19%: the biggest move is Apollon Limassol's chance of winning, up 8 points.
- Apollon Limassol win60%▲ +8
- Draw21%▼ −4
- Nea Salamis win19%▼ −4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.