17 October 2026, 15:00 UTC

Krasava Ypsonas vs Karmiotissa 1. Division prediction & result

Ammochostos Stadium, Larnaca
Referee: Michalis Louka
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Krasava Ypsonas 2-1 Karmiotissa.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% Krasava Ypsonas, 30% draw, 29% Karmiotissa — fair odds of 2.44, 3.33 and 3.45.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Krasava Ypsonas at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Krasava Ypsonas97%Draw3%Karmiotissa0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁Fanos Katelarisout: Kristopher Da Graca
17'
24'
⚽petros psichas
Yassine Bahassa
25'
Vasilios Papafotis
29'
⚽Yassine Bahassa
41'
⚽Vasilios Papafotis
45+1'
46'
🔁Panagiotis Tachtsidisout: Jael Pawaridihadjo
46'
🔁Christos Wheelerout: Marios Kokinoftas
Bismark Boateng
55'
55'
petros psichas
63'
Marios Kokinoftas
🔁Rubén Pardoout: panagiotis angeli
64'
🔁Yassine Bahassaout: Marco Camús
64'
69'
🔁petros psichasout: Theodosis kyprou
69'
🔁Sadio Dembeleout: Nassim Ouammou
Marco Camús
72'
🔁Kevin Luckassenout: Diby Keita
77'
🔁Vasilios Papafotisout: Lysandros Andreas Papastylianou
77'
78'
🔁Aleksandr Martynovout: Mateja Bajunovic
86'
Ruben Garcia

Line-ups

Krasava Ypsonas
  • 25A. ChristodoulouG
  • 13Tabekou OuambéF
  • 14Rubén PardoM
  • 10V. PapafotisM
  • 77G. KiakosD
  • 30F. KatelarisM
  • 3L. de LucasD
  • 29Issam ChebakeD
  • 42K. LuckassenF
  • 19N. BoatengM
  • 28Yassine BahassaF
Substitutes
  • 20A. AthanasiouM
  • 22P. AngeliM
  • 75Y. AvramenkoG
  • 9E. BudnikF
  • 80Marco CamusF
  • 5Kristopher Da GracaD
  • 12Andreas GeorgiouM
  • 21D. KeitaF
  • 11M. PanagidisM
Coach: Marios Neophytou
Karmiotissa
  • 4S. DembéléD
  • 22Ruben GarciaD
  • 33Julio CesarD
  • 5A. MartynovD
  • 9Patrick LuanF
  • 21P. PsychasM
  • 10D. A. ReynoldsM
  • 77P. TachtsidisM
  • 6C. WheelerD
  • 8C. YebliM
  • 1N. GiannakopoulosG
Substitutes
  • 18A. ViolarisG
  • 70themistoklis themistokleousF
  • 26X. TabakuM
  • 99D. PriniotakiG
  • 34Jael PawaridihadjoF
  • 27Manolis PavlisM
  • 19S. PanagiotouF
  • 42N. OuammouD
  • 17Theodosis kyprouF
Coach: Alexandros Garpozis

Form going into Krasava Ypsonas vs Karmiotissa

Krasava Ypsonas

1. Division

  • L1-3Apollon Limassol10 October 2026

Karmiotissa

1. Division

  • L0-3Omonia Nicosia9 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Cyprus 1. Division table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Krasava Ypsonas9126920-115
12Karmiotissa9135620-146

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Krasava Ypsonas vs Karmiotissa

  • 19 October 2022Karmiotissa 3–2 Krasava YpsonasCup
  • 25 January 2020Karmiotissa 3–1 Krasava Ypsonas2. Division
  • 23 November 2019Krasava Ypsonas 0–1 Karmiotissa2. Division

Leading scorers: Krasava Ypsonas and Karmiotissa

Krasava Ypsonas

GoalsAssists

  • S. Tabekou21
  • Yassine Bahassa11

Karmiotissa

GoalsAssists

  • Patrick Luan11

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Krasava Ypsonas beat Karmiotissa 2–1. The model had made a win for Krasava Ypsonas its most likely outcome, at 41%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: petros psichas 24' for Karmiotissa, Yassine Bahassa 41' for Krasava Ypsonas, Vasilios Papafotis 45+1' for Krasava Ypsonas.

How the call on Krasava Ypsonas v Karmiotissa has moved

First published on 3 Oct at 37% / 31% / 32% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 41% / 30% / 29%: the biggest move is Krasava Ypsonas's chance of winning, up 4 points.

  1. Krasava Ypsonas win41%▲ +4
  2. Draw30%▼ −1
  3. Karmiotissa win29%▼ −3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.