Rosenborg vs Viking Eliteserien prediction & result
Final score: Rosenborg 2-1 Viking.
Before kick-off the model made it 60% Rosenborg, 20% draw, 20% Viking — fair odds of 1.67, 5.00 and 5.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Rosenborg at 60% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Rosenborg vs Viking
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Leopold WahlstedtG
- 22Jonas SvenssonD
- 4Mikkel Konradsen CeideD
- 21Tomáš NemčíkD
- 19Adrian Nilsen PereiraD
- 11Noah SahsahM
- 17Mads BomholtM
- 10Ole SelnaesM
- 29Dávid ĎurišM
- 18Amin ChiakhaF
- 35Emil Konradsen CeideF
- 15Jonas MortensenD
- 16Aslak WitryD
- 3Tobias Solheim DahlD
- 14Jesper Reitan-SundeF
- 12Rasmus SandbergG
- 5Håkon VoldenD
- 25Johan Johanessen BakkeM
- 28Elias SlordalM
- 30Maciej SoboczynskiF
- 1Arild ØstbøG
- 18Sondre Flem BjørsholD
- 6Gianni StensnessD
- 25Henrik Sælebakke FalchenerD
- 24Vetle AuklendD
- 7Kristoffer AskildsenM
- 29Tobias MoiM
- 16Ruben AlteM
- 2Herman Johan HaugenF
- 20Peter ChristiansenF
- 17Edvin AustbøF
- 5Henrik HeggheimD
- 26Simen Kvia-EgeskogM
- 10Zlatko TripićF
- 8Joe BellM
- 11Romano PostemaF
- 30Ľubomír BelkoG
- 3Viljar VevatneD
- 28Kristoffer HaugenD
- 23Niklas Kemp FuglestadF
Form going into Rosenborg vs Viking
Rosenborg
- W2-0away to Lillestrom9 August 2026
Viking
- W2-1Sarpsborg 08 FF8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rosenborg | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 36 | 29 | +7 | 30 |
| 2 | Viking | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 51 | 20 | +31 | 47 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Rosenborg vs Viking
- 14 August 2026Rosenborg 2–1 VikingEliteserien
- 1 May 2026Viking 3–0 RosenborgEliteserien
- 31 August 2025Viking 2–1 RosenborgEliteserien
- 28 June 2025Rosenborg 1–1 VikingEliteserien
- 16 March 2025Viking 3–2 RosenborgFriendlies Clubs
- 18 August 2024Rosenborg 2–1 VikingEliteserien
Leading scorers: Rosenborg and Viking
Rosenborg
- Amin Chiakha12 goals3 assists
- E. Ceïde5 goals5 assists
Viking
- P. Christiansen10 goals6 assists
- S. Kvia-Egeskog8 goals2 assists
- Z. Tripić6 goals18 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.