30 August 2026, 12:30 UTC

Bodo/Glimt vs Rosenborg Eliteserien prediction & result

Aspmyra Stadion
Full time4 – 2

Final score: Bodo/Glimt 4-2 Rosenborg.

Before kick-off the model made it 44% Bodo/Glimt, 28% draw, 28% Rosenborg — fair odds of 2.27, 3.57 and 3.57.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Bodo/Glimt at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Bodo/Glimt99%Draw1%Rosenborg0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

11'
Dávid Ďuriš
35'
⚽S. Nordliassist: E. K. Ceide
⚽F. Bjorkan
40'
54'
🔁D. Durisout: J. Mortensen
54'
🔁S. Nordliout: N. Sahsah
⚽F. Bjorkan
58'
⚽A. Helmersenassist: F. Bjorkan
61'
65'
🔁A. F. Witryout: M. Mampassi
65'
🔁A. Pereiraout: M. Soboczynski
🔁J. Haugeout: O. Blomberg
72'
⚽A. Helmersenassist: S. Auklend
77'
🔁S. Auklendout: J. Kitolano
80'
🔁F. Bjorkanout: I. Maatta
80'
🔁O. Brynhildsenout: J. Mvuka Mugisha
80'
Ole Didrik Blomberg
88'
🔁S. Fetout: U. Saltnes
88'
88'
⚽E. K. Ceideassist: O. Selnaes

Match stats — Bodo/Glimt vs Rosenborg

54%Possession46%
26Shots11
7On target3
12Corners2
2.82xG0.94

Goals against chances

Bodo/Glimt4 from 2.82 xGmore than the chances were worth
Rosenborg2 from 0.94 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Bodo/Glimt 4-4-2
  • 12N. HaikinG
  • 20F. SjovoldD
  • 2V. NielsenD
  • 4O. L. BjortuftD
  • 15F. BjorkanD
  • 8S. AuklendM
  • 7P. BergM
  • 19S. FetM
  • 10J. HaugeM
  • 17O. BrynhildsenF
  • 21A. HelmersenF
Substitutes
  • 1J. LundG
  • 14U. SaltnesM
  • 16J. KitolanoM
  • 25I. MaattaD
  • 22J. Mvuka MugishaM
  • 32K. SolhaugM
  • 11O. BlombergM
Coach: Kjetil Knutsen
Rosenborg 4-4-2
  • 1L. WahlstedtG
  • 16A. F. WitryD
  • 4M. K. CeideD
  • 21T. NemcikD
  • 19A. PereiraD
  • 29D. DurisM
  • 17M. BomholtM
  • 10O. SelnaesM
  • 7S. NordliM
  • 18A. ChiakhaF
  • 35E. K. CeideF
Substitutes
  • 12R. SandbergG
  • 15J. MortensenD
  • 23M. MampassiD
  • 3T. DahlD
  • 5H. VoldenD
  • 28E. SlordalM
  • 20A. BorgersenM
  • 30M. SoboczynskiF
  • 11N. SahsahF
Coach: Freyr Alexandersson

Form going into Bodo/Glimt vs Rosenborg

Bodo/Glimt

All competitions we cover

  • W3-0NEC Nijmegen25 August 2026
  • W3-1away to NEC Nijmegen19 August 2026
  • W3-2Union St. Gilloise11 August 2026
  • W2-1away to Valerenga8 August 2026
  • D3-3away to Union St. Gilloise4 August 2026

Rosenborg

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1Viking14 August 2026
  • W2-0away to Lillestrom9 August 2026
  • L2-3away to Brann2 August 2026
  • W4-0Fredrikstad27 July 2026
  • W3-0away to Start18 July 2026

What these results say

  • Bodo/Glimt went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • Bodo/Glimt scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Every one of these 5 matches for Bodo/Glimt had three goals or more.
  • Rosenborg scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Rosenborg won 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Rosenborg had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Bodo/Glimt2620246323+4062
3Rosenborg2614485332+2146

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Bodo/Glimt vs Rosenborg

  • 29 May 2026Rosenborg 2–2 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
  • 21 September 2025Rosenborg 1–1 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
  • 24 May 2025Bodo/Glimt 4–0 RosenborgEliteserien
  • 28 October 2024Bodo/Glimt 2–3 RosenborgEliteserien
  • 27 April 2024Rosenborg 1–3 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien

Leading scorers: Bodo/Glimt and Rosenborg

Bodo/Glimt

GoalsAssists

  • A. Helmersen132

Rosenborg

GoalsAssists

  • Amin Chiakha184

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Bodo/Glimt beat Rosenborg 4–2. The model had made a win for Bodo/Glimt its most likely outcome, at 44%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: S. Nordli 35' for Rosenborg, F. Bjorkan 40' for Bodo/Glimt, F. Bjorkan 58' for Bodo/Glimt, A. Helmersen 61' for Bodo/Glimt, A. Helmersen 77' for Bodo/Glimt, E. K. Ceide 88' for Rosenborg. On expected goals it finished 2.82–0.94.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.