30 August 2026, 12:30 UTC

Bodo/Glimt vs Rosenborg Eliteserien prediction & result

Aspmyra Stadion
Full time4 – 2

Final score: Bodo/Glimt 4-2 Rosenborg.

Before kick-off the model made it 44% Bodo/Glimt, 28% draw, 28% Rosenborg — fair odds of 2.27, 3.57 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Bodo/Glimt at 44% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Bodo/Glimt99%Draw1%Rosenborg0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

11'
Dávid Ďuriš
35'
⚽S. Nordliassist: E. K. Ceide
⚽F. Bjorkan
40'
54'
🔁D. Durisout: J. Mortensen
54'
🔁S. Nordliout: N. Sahsah
⚽F. Bjorkan
58'
⚽A. Helmersenassist: F. Bjorkan
61'
65'
🔁A. F. Witryout: M. Mampassi
65'
🔁A. Pereiraout: M. Soboczynski
🔁J. Haugeout: O. Blomberg
72'
⚽A. Helmersenassist: S. Auklend
77'
🔁S. Auklendout: J. Kitolano
80'
🔁F. Bjorkanout: I. Maatta
80'
🔁O. Brynhildsenout: J. Mvuka Mugisha
80'
Ole Didrik Blomberg
88'
🔁S. Fetout: U. Saltnes
88'
88'
⚽E. K. Ceideassist: O. Selnaes

Match stats — Bodo/Glimt vs Rosenborg

54%Possession46%
26Shots11
7On target3
12Corners2
2.82xG0.94

Goals against chances

Bodo/Glimt4 from 2.82 xGmore than the chances were worth
Rosenborg2 from 0.94 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Bodo/Glimt 4-4-2
  • 12N. HaikinG
  • 20F. SjovoldD
  • 2V. NielsenD
  • 4O. L. BjortuftD
  • 15F. BjorkanD
  • 8S. AuklendM
  • 7P. BergM
  • 19S. FetM
  • 10J. HaugeM
  • 17O. BrynhildsenF
  • 21A. HelmersenF
Substitutes
  • 1J. LundG
  • 14U. SaltnesM
  • 16J. KitolanoM
  • 25I. MaattaD
  • 22J. Mvuka MugishaM
  • 32K. SolhaugM
  • 11O. BlombergM
Coach: Kjetil Knutsen
Rosenborg 4-4-2
  • 1L. WahlstedtG
  • 16A. F. WitryD
  • 4M. K. CeideD
  • 21T. NemcikD
  • 19A. PereiraD
  • 29D. DurisM
  • 17M. BomholtM
  • 10O. SelnaesM
  • 7S. NordliM
  • 18A. ChiakhaF
  • 35E. K. CeideF
Substitutes
  • 12R. SandbergG
  • 15J. MortensenD
  • 23M. MampassiD
  • 3T. DahlD
  • 5H. VoldenD
  • 28E. SlordalM
  • 20A. BorgersenM
  • 30M. SoboczynskiF
  • 11N. SahsahF
Coach: Freyr Alexandersson

Form going into Bodo/Glimt vs Rosenborg

Bodo/Glimt

  • W2-1away to Valerenga8 August 2026
  • W4-0Lillestrom31 July 2026

Rosenborg

  • W2-1Viking14 August 2026
  • W2-0away to Lillestrom9 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Bodo/Glimt2016225217+3550
6Rosenborg209383629+730

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Bodo/Glimt vs Rosenborg

  • 30 August 2026Bodo/Glimt 4–2 RosenborgEliteserien
  • 29 May 2026Rosenborg 2–2 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
  • 21 September 2025Rosenborg 1–1 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
  • 24 May 2025Bodo/Glimt 4–0 RosenborgEliteserien
  • 28 October 2024Bodo/Glimt 2–3 RosenborgEliteserien
  • 27 April 2024Rosenborg 1–3 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien

Leading scorers: Bodo/Glimt and Rosenborg

Bodo/Glimt

  • A. Helmersen10 goals1 assists
  • K. Høgh7 goals4 assists

Rosenborg

  • Amin Chiakha12 goals3 assists
  • E. Ceïde5 goals5 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.