8 November 2026, 17:00 UTC

Inter vs Como Serie A prediction & result

Milan
Referee: Daniele Chiffi
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Inter 2-0 Como.

Before kick-off the model made it 44% Inter, 27% draw, 29% Como — fair odds of 2.27, 3.70 and 3.45.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Inter at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Inter99%Draw1%Como0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Pio Espositoassist: Djed Spence
12'
⚽Marcus Thuram
19'
45'
🔁Maximo Perroneout: Samuele Ricci
45'
🔁Martin Baturinaout: Ivan Smolcic
Pio Esposito
72'
🔁Piotr Zielińskiout: Henrikh Mkhitaryan
72'
🔁Pio Espositoout: Ange-Yoan Bonny
73'
74'
🔁Lucas Da Cunhaout: Maxence Caqueret
74'
🔁Yan Coutoout: Mattia Liberali
74'
🔁Álex Valleout: Kaiki Bruno
🔁Hakan Çalhanoğluout: Petar Sučić
81'
🔁Federico Dimarcoout: Andy Diouf
87'
🔁Marcus Thuramout: Benjamin Pavard
88'

Match stats — Inter vs Como

43%Possession57%
14Shots5
4On target1
4Corners2
1.9xG0.21

Goals against chances

Inter2 from 1.90 xGabout what the chances were worth
Como0 from 0.21 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Inter 3-5-2
  • 1Josep MartínezG
  • 25M. AkanjiD
  • 95A. BastoniD
  • 30Carlos AugustoD
  • 99D. SpenceM
  • 23N. BarellaM
  • 20H. ÇalhanoğluM
  • 7P. ZielińskiM
  • 32F. DimarcoM
  • 94F. EspositoF
  • 9M. ThuramF
Substitutes
  • 14A. BonnyF
  • 28B. PavardD
  • 21C. JonesM
  • 49I. ProvedelG
  • 22H. MkhitaryanM
  • 53M. LavelliF
  • 17A. DioufM
  • 5A. StankovićM
  • 31Y. BisseckD
Coach: C. Chivu
Como 4-2-3-1
  • 97Robert SánchezG
  • 27Yan CoutoD
  • 4Jacobo Ramón NaverosD
  • 2M. KempfD
  • 3Álex ValleD
  • 5M. PerroneM
  • 6Luis MillaM
  • 7L. da CunhaM
  • 10N. PazM
  • 20M. BaturinaM
  • 9T. DouvikasF
Substitutes
  • 8M. CaqueretM
  • 55C. De PaoliD
  • 13A. DossenaD
  • 18E. GoldanigaD
  • 16KaikiD
  • 53Willy Kambwala NdengushiD
  • 15A. LahdoM
  • 30M. LiberaliM
  • 21S. RicciM
Coach: Cesc Fàbregas

Form going into Inter vs Como

Inter

Serie A

  • L1-3away to AC Milan31 October 2026
  • W2-0away to Venezia28 October 2026
  • W2-1Fiorentina25 October 2026
  • W3-1away to Bologna17 October 2026

Como

Serie A

  • W1-0Venezia1 November 2026
  • W3-1away to Torino27 October 2026
  • W2-0Sassuolo24 October 2026
  • W3-1away to Fiorentina18 October 2026

What these results say

  • Inter scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Inter won 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Inter conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Como won every one of these 4 matches.
  • Como scored in every one of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Inter119112813+1528
5Como117221810+823

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Inter vs Como

  • 21 April 2026Inter 3–2 ComoCoppa Italia
  • 12 April 2026Como 3–4 InterSerie A
  • 3 March 2026Como 0–0 InterCoppa Italia
  • 6 December 2025Inter 4–0 ComoSerie A
  • 23 May 2025Como 0–2 InterSerie A
  • 23 December 2024Inter 2–0 ComoSerie A

The full Inter vs Como record →

Leading scorers: Inter and Como

Inter

GoalsAssists

  • M. Thuram62

Como

GoalsAssists

  • T. Douvikas50

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Inter beat Como 2–0. The model had made a win for Inter its most likely outcome, at 44%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Pio Esposito 12' for Inter, Marcus Thuram 19' for Inter. On expected goals it finished 1.90–0.21.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Inter a 37.0% chance to win the league: 41.9% after a win, 35.1% after a draw, 30.4% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 41.9%, 4.9 points higher than before the match.

For Como the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 63.2% going in: 70.4% after a win, 63.1% after a draw, 58.6% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 58.6%, 4.6 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Serie A season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.