Coritiba vs Mirassol Serie A prediction & result
Final score: Coritiba 1-2 Mirassol.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Coritiba, 30% draw, 30% Mirassol — fair odds of 2.50, 3.33 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Coritiba at 40% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Coritiba vs Mirassol
Coritiba
- W3-2away to Remo31 August 2026
- W2-1Corinthians23 August 2026
- D1-1away to Sao Paulo16 August 2026
Mirassol
- L0-2away to Flamengo2 September 2026
- D1-1Palmeiras30 August 2026
- D1-1away to Santos23 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Coritiba | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 38 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 29 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Coritiba vs Mirassol
- 18 March 2026Mirassol 0–1 CoritibaSerie A
- 6 November 2024Mirassol 4–1 CoritibaSerie B
- 20 July 2024Coritiba 0–1 MirassolSerie B
Leading scorers: Coritiba and Mirassol
Coritiba
- Pedro Rocha8 goals1 assists
- Breno Lopes8 goals1 assists
Mirassol
No player in Serie A's leading scorers — 31 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.