Jeonbuk Motors vs Jeju United FC K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Jeonbuk Motors 3-2 Jeju United FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Jeonbuk Motors, 31% draw, 30% Jeju United FC — fair odds of 2.56, 3.23 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Jeonbuk Motors at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Jeonbuk Motors vs Jeju United FC
Line-ups
- 31Song Bum-KeunG
- 77Kim Tae-HyunD
- 5Park Ji-SooD
- 2Kim Young-BinD
- 66Choi Woo-JinD
- 28Lee Yeong-JaeM
- 16João GamboaM
- 13Kang Sang-YoonM
- 7Lee Dong-JunF
- 9Tiago OrobóF
- 95ItaloF
- 4Cho Wi-JeD
- 11Kim Seung-SubF
- 97Kim Jin-GyuM
- 24Lee Sang-MyungD
- 10Lee Seung-WooM
- 1Lee Ju-HyunG
- 6Maeng Seong-UngM
- 30DodozinhoM
- 99Bruno MotaF
- 1Kim Dong-JunG
- 17Yu In-SooD
- 2Tobias FigueiredoD
- 3J. CélestineD
- 40Kim Ryun-SeongD
- 94Emerson NeguebaM
- 6Gi-min KwonM
- 8Lee Chang-MinM
- 7Chang-Jun ParkM
- 10Lee Kun-HeeF
- 33Park Su-BinF
- 41Kim Jae-WooD
- 24Choi Byung-WookM
- 13Chung WoonD
- 81Heo Ja-UngG
- 55Dong-hwi KangM
- 18Kim Sin-JinF
- 47Min-jae ParkF
- 23Rim Chang-WooD
- 22E. ÇinariF
Form going into Jeonbuk Motors vs Jeju United FC
Jeonbuk Motors
K League 1
- L1-2away to Daejeon Citizen9 October 2026
Jeju United FC
K League 1
- L1-2away to FC Seoul10 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jeonbuk Motors | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | +9 | 49 |
| 7 | Jeju United FC | 35 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 41 | 39 | +2 | 48 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Jeonbuk Motors vs Jeju United FC
- 8 August 2026Jeonbuk Motors 1–3 Jeju United FCK League 1
- 2 May 2026Jeju United FC 0–2 Jeonbuk MotorsK League 1
- 3 October 2025Jeju United FC 1–1 Jeonbuk MotorsK League 1
- 23 May 2025Jeju United FC 0–0 Jeonbuk MotorsK League 1
- 13 April 2025Jeonbuk Motors 1–1 Jeju United FCK League 1
- 27 October 2024Jeju United FC 1–0 Jeonbuk MotorsK League 1
Leading scorers: Jeonbuk Motors and Jeju United FC
Jeonbuk Motors
GoalsAssists
- Tiago Orobó100
- Lee Seung-Woo44
Jeju United FC
GoalsAssists
- Emerson Negueba62
- Lee Kun-Hee41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Jeonbuk Motors beat Jeju United FC 3–2. The model had made a win for Jeonbuk Motors its most likely outcome, at 39%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Tiago Orobó 32' for Jeonbuk Motors, Emerson Negueba (penalty) 45+9' for Jeju United FC, Kim Young-Bin 47' for Jeonbuk Motors, Tiago Orobó 60' for Jeonbuk Motors, Emerson Negueba (penalty) 90+1' for Jeju United FC.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Jeonbuk Motors a 39.5% chance to finish in the top four: 73.4% after a win, 28.6% after a draw, 5.5% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 73.4%, 33.9 points higher than before the match.
For Jeju United FC the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 53.6% going in: 94.2% after a win, 56.3% after a draw, 20.5% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 20.5%, 33.1 points lower than before the match.
Read from our K League 1 season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.