10 November 2026, 00:00 UTC

Junior vs Cucuta Primera A prediction & result

Barranquilla
Referee: Wilmar Roldan, Colombia
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Junior 2-0 Cucuta.

Before kick-off the model made it 55% Junior, 25% draw, 20% Cucuta — fair odds of 1.82, 4.00 and 5.00.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Junior at 55%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Junior99%Draw1%Cucuta0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

9'
J. Peralta
26'
J. Agudelo
⚽G. Paivaassist: J. Pena
35'
G. Paiva
42'
🔁J. Rivasout: G. Celis
44'
🔁F. Fydriszewskiout: T. Gutierrez
46'
⚽T. Gutierrezassist: B. Castrillon
50'
T. Gutierrez
51'
61'
🔁D. Perezout: M. B. Carabali Lopez
61'
🔁D. Calcaterraout: Neneco
61'
🔁J. Agudeloout: G. Torres
68'
🔁J. E. Manyoma Cordobaout: Y. Abonia
🔁G. Paivaout: J. Canchimbo
70'
🔁B. Castrillonout: H. Rivera
70'
J. Rios
72'
79'
🔁E. M. Duarte Barajasout: J. Ceballos
🔁Y. Charaout: K. Perez
86'
C. Perez
87'
88'
⚽J. Peralta (pen)assist: J. Peralta

Match stats — Junior vs Cucuta

51%Possession49%
18Shots14
5On target5
5Corners3
1.18xG1.37

Goals against chances

Junior2 from 1.18 xGmore than the chances were worth
Cucuta0 from 1.37 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Junior 4-2-3-1
  • 1Mauro SilveiraG
  • 98Jermein PeñaD
  • 24Jean Carlos PestañaD
  • 16Carlos PerezD
  • 26Yeison SuárezD
  • 14Juan David RíosM
  • 22Jesús RivasM
  • 8Yimmi CharáM
  • 9Guillermo PaivaM
  • 88Bryan CastrillónM
  • 19Francisco FydriszewskiF
Substitutes
  • 28Guillermo CelisM
  • 29Teófilo GutiérrezF
  • 7Harold RiveraM
  • 21Joel CanchimboF
  • 18Kevin PérezF
  • 30Jefersson MartínezG
  • 38Andrés SchmalbachM
  • 5Daniel RiveraM
  • 10Luis MurielF
Cucuta 4-1-4-1
  • 12Federico AbadíaG
  • 3Diego CalcaterraD
  • 2Hernán LópesD
  • 30Brayan MontañoD
  • 27Mauricio DuarteD
  • 7Jader ManyomaM
  • 32Jhonatan AgudeloM
  • 10Leider BerdugoM
  • 5Victor MejiaM
  • 20Dayan PérezM
  • 9Jaime PeraltaF
Substitutes
  • 77Carlos RenteríaM
  • 21Marlon CarabaliF
  • 11Gustavo TorresM
  • 26Yair Joao Abonia VasquezD
  • 8Juan CeballosM
  • 1Juan David RamírezG
  • 17Leison OchoaD
  • 6Jairo CastellanosM
  • 22Tobías SánchezD

Form going into Junior vs Cucuta

Junior

Primera A

  • L2-3away to Llaneros31 October 2026
  • D1-1away to Chico28 October 2026
  • W1-0Águilas Doradas24 October 2026

Cucuta

Primera A

  • W1-0Santa Fe4 November 2026
  • L0-2Águilas Doradas27 October 2026
  • L1-3away to America de Cali24 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Junior195772627-122
10Cucuta198382126-527

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Junior vs Cucuta

  • 24 April 2026Cucuta 1–1 JuniorPrimera A
  • 17 August 2023Junior 2–1 CucutaCopa Colombia
  • 27 July 2023Cucuta 4–3 JuniorCopa Colombia
  • 1 November 2020Cucuta 1–4 JuniorPrimera A
  • 24 November 2019Junior 1–0 CucutaPrimera A
  • 15 November 2019Cucuta 1–3 JuniorPrimera A

Leading scorers: Junior and Cucuta

Junior

GoalsAssists

  • L. Muriel163

Cucuta

No player in Primera A's leading scorers — 21 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Junior beat Cucuta 2–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Junior at 55%. The goals: G. Paiva 35' for Junior, T. Gutierrez 50' for Junior. On expected goals it finished 1.18–1.37.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Junior a 10.1% chance to finish in the bottom three: 0.0% after a win, 15.6% after a draw, 34.5% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 0.0%, 10.1 points lower than before the match.

For Cucuta the question was the chance to finish in the top eight, 17.0% going in: 66.0% after a win, 22.7% after a draw, under 1% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at under 1%, 16.8 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Primera A season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.