Tecnico Universitario vs Manta FC Liga Pro prediction & result
Final score: Tecnico Universitario 1-2 Manta FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% Tecnico Universitario, 27% draw, 26% Manta FC — fair odds of 2.13, 3.70 and 3.85.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Tecnico Universitario at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Tecnico Universitario vs Manta FC
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 12Ayrton MoralesG
- 23E. MesaD
- 53Rafael Francisco Chila MaciasD
- 13J. AnayaD
- 85Y. ArceD
- 19Anthony CastiloM
- 70C. CastañoM
- 33J. MajaoM
- 25B. DelgadoM
- 7L. EstupiñánF
- 8D. ArmasF
- 15F. CastillloM
- 14B. OñaM
- 30Luis Arce Caicedo KenerD
- 11C. ArteagaF
- 90W. CaicedoF
- 67M. CarrascoM
- 29A. CelaM
- 4Luis Mario Cordova MinaD
- 79C. CueroD
- 12F. ZambranoG
- 23A. MedinaD
- 4J. NazarenoD
- 24O. MoscarelliD
- 25J. MonagaD
- 7Walter Leodán Chalá VásquezM
- 6J. JiménezM
- 5B. RamírezM
- 10R. BurbanoM
- 17José Enrique Angulo CaicedoF
- 19J. AlmanF
- 9J. BlancoF
- 20Josué ChalaM
- 1W. ChávezG
- 29M. HurtadoM
- 31G. MinaD
- 14J. MinaM
- 70J. NazarenoM
- 21M. OrtízM
- 52J. RialpeM
Form going into Tecnico Universitario vs Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
Liga Pro
- D1-1away to Orense SC2 November 2026
- W3-0Mushuc Runa SC26 October 2026
- L1-2away to Deportivo Cuenca16 October 2026
- L0-1away to Manta FC10 October 2026
Manta FC
Liga Pro
- W3-2away to Mushuc Runa SC3 November 2026
- L0-2Deportivo Cuenca24 October 2026
- L2-4away to Delfin SC18 October 2026
- W1-0Tecnico Universitario10 October 2026
What these results say
- Tecnico Universitario failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Tecnico Universitario scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Tecnico Universitario conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Manta FC scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Manta FC conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Pro table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Tecnico Universitario | 36 | 11 | 4 | 21 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 37 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 27 | 52 | -25 | 33 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Tecnico Universitario vs Manta FC
- 10 October 2026Manta FC 1–0 Tecnico UniversitarioLiga Pro
- 26 July 2026Tecnico Universitario 1–0 Manta FCLiga Pro
- 5 April 2026Manta FC 0–2 Tecnico UniversitarioLiga Pro
- 29 November 2025Tecnico Universitario 2–3 Manta FCLiga Pro
- 19 October 2025Manta FC 2–0 Tecnico UniversitarioLiga Pro
- 3 August 2025Tecnico Universitario 3–1 Manta FCLiga Pro
Leading scorers: Tecnico Universitario and Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
No player in Liga Pro's leading scorers — 35 league goals as a side.
Manta FC
GoalsAssists
- José Enrique Angulo Caicedo70
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Manta FC won 2–1 at Tecnico Universitario. The model had leaned towards a win for Tecnico Universitario at 47% and given a win for Manta FC 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Julian Esteban·Anaya Zea 0' for Tecnico Universitario, Walter Chalá 47' for Manta FC, J. Vergés 90+4' for Manta FC. Sent off: F. Usúcar (Tecnico Universitario) 63'. On expected goals it finished 0.61–1.48.
How the call on Tecnico Universitario v Manta FC has moved
First published on 25 Oct at 45% / 28% / 27% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 47% / 27% / 26%: the biggest move is Tecnico Universitario's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Tecnico Universitario win47%▲ +2
- Draw27%▼ −1
- Manta FC win26%▼ −1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.