9 October 2026, 16:00 UTC

Karmiotissa vs Omonia Nicosia 1. Division prediction & result

Ammochostos Stadium, Larnaca
Referee: Antonis Konstantinidis
Full time0 – 3

Final score: Karmiotissa 0-3 Omonia Nicosia.

Before kick-off the model made it 15% Karmiotissa, 24% draw, 61% Omonia Nicosia — fair odds of 6.67, 4.17 and 1.64.

Most likely scoreline: 0-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Omonia Nicosia at 61%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Karmiotissa0%Draw1%Omonia Nicosia99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Christos Wheeler
6'
22'
panagiotis andreou
Alastair Reynolds
44'
🔁petros psichasout: Jael Pawaridihadjo
59'
🔁Mateja Bajunovicout: Xhuljo Tabaku
59'
60'
⚽Luuk Brouwers
68'
🔁panagiotis andreouout: Mateo Marić
🔁Alastair Reynoldsout: Iakovos savvidis
78'
🔁Christos Wheelerout: themistoklis themistokleous
78'
cesar julio
81'
86'
🔁Loïs Dionyout: Andronikos Kakoullis
86'
🔁Jaden Sean Montnorout: Florin Tănase
🔁Marios Kokinoftasout: Manolis Pavlis
86'
88'
⚽Muamer Tanković
Xhuljo Tabaku
89'
90'
⚽Lubomír Šatka

Line-ups

Karmiotissa
  • 1N. GiannakopoulosG
  • 8C. YebliM
  • 6C. WheelerD
  • 10D. A. ReynoldsM
  • 21P. PsychasM
  • 9Patrick LuanF
  • 20Marios KokkinoftasM
  • 33Julio CesarD
  • 22Ruben GarciaD
  • 4S. DembéléD
  • 7M. BajunovicM
Substitutes
  • 23Alexandre KutateladzeM
  • 97Angelos ArgyriouD
  • 19S. PanagiotouF
  • 27Manolis PavlisM
  • 34Jael PawaridihadjoF
  • 99D. PriniotakiG
  • 11I. SavvidisM
  • 44J. SmairaD
  • 26X. TabakuM
Coach: Alexandros Garpozis
Omonia Nicosia
  • 74P. AndreouM
  • 29J. BalkovecD
  • 20L. BrouwersM
  • 11EwandroM
  • 5S. CoulibalyD
  • 99L. DionyF
  • 93J. DuverneD
  • 7J. MontnorF
  • 37Ľ. ŠatkaD
  • 22M. TankovicF
  • 1T. KaminskiG
Substitutes
  • 44G. ViktorosD
  • 17F. TănaseM
  • 27S. SimičD
  • 85A. NeophytouF
  • 77L. NégoD
  • 78Pantelis MichailG
  • 21M. MayambelaF
  • 14M. MarićM
  • 9A. KakoullisF
Coach: H. Berg

Form going into Karmiotissa vs Omonia Nicosia

Karmiotissa

No earlier matches on record this season.

Omonia Nicosia

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0Celta Vigo16 September 2026
  • W4-2St. Truiden27 August 2026
  • L0-1away to St. Truiden20 August 2026
  • W1-0Lincoln Red Imps FC13 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Lincoln Red Imps FC6 August 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Cyprus 1. Division table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12Karmiotissa9135620-146
2Omonia Nicosia9531176+1118

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Karmiotissa vs Omonia Nicosia

  • 1 February 2025Omonia Nicosia 3–0 Karmiotissa1. Division
  • 28 October 2024Karmiotissa 2–6 Omonia Nicosia1. Division
  • 16 December 2023Omonia Nicosia 2–1 Karmiotissa1. Division
  • 26 August 2023Karmiotissa 3–3 Omonia Nicosia1. Division
  • 5 March 2023Karmiotissa 1–2 Omonia Nicosia1. Division
  • 5 December 2022Omonia Nicosia 4–0 Karmiotissa1. Division

Leading scorers: Karmiotissa and Omonia Nicosia

Karmiotissa

GoalsAssists

  • Patrick Luan11

Omonia Nicosia

GoalsAssists

  • L. Diony30
  • Ľ. Šatka21
  • L. Brouwers20

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Omonia Nicosia won 3–0 at Karmiotissa. The model had made a win for Omonia Nicosia its most likely outcome, at 61%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Luuk Brouwers 60' for Omonia Nicosia, Muamer Tanković 88' for Omonia Nicosia, Lubomír Šatka 90' for Omonia Nicosia.

How the call on Karmiotissa v Omonia Nicosia has moved

First published on 2 Oct at 19% / 27% / 54% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 15% / 24% / 61%: the biggest move is Omonia Nicosia's chance of winning, up 7 points.

  1. Karmiotissa win15%▼ −4
  2. Draw24%▼ −3
  3. Omonia Nicosia win61%▲ +7

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.