Karmiotissa vs Omonia Nicosia 1. Division prediction & result
Final score: Karmiotissa 0-3 Omonia Nicosia.
Before kick-off the model made it 15% Karmiotissa, 24% draw, 61% Omonia Nicosia — fair odds of 6.67, 4.17 and 1.64.
Most likely scoreline: 0-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Cypriot First Division predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Omonia Nicosia at 61%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 1N. GiannakopoulosG
- 8C. YebliM
- 6C. WheelerD
- 10D. A. ReynoldsM
- 21P. PsychasM
- 9Patrick LuanF
- 20Marios KokkinoftasM
- 33Julio CesarD
- 22Ruben GarciaD
- 4S. DembéléD
- 7M. BajunovicM
- 23Alexandre KutateladzeM
- 97Angelos ArgyriouD
- 19S. PanagiotouF
- 27Manolis PavlisM
- 34Jael PawaridihadjoF
- 99D. PriniotakiG
- 11I. SavvidisM
- 44J. SmairaD
- 26X. TabakuM
- 74P. AndreouM
- 29J. BalkovecD
- 20L. BrouwersM
- 11EwandroM
- 5S. CoulibalyD
- 99L. DionyF
- 93J. DuverneD
- 7J. MontnorF
- 37Ľ. ŠatkaD
- 22M. TankovicF
- 1T. KaminskiG
- 44G. ViktorosD
- 17F. TănaseM
- 27S. SimičD
- 85A. NeophytouF
- 77L. NégoD
- 78Pantelis MichailG
- 21M. MayambelaF
- 14M. MarićM
- 9A. KakoullisF
Form going into Karmiotissa vs Omonia Nicosia
Karmiotissa
No earlier matches on record this season.
Omonia Nicosia
All competitions we cover
- W1-0Celta Vigo16 September 2026
- W4-2St. Truiden27 August 2026
- L0-1away to St. Truiden20 August 2026
- W1-0Lincoln Red Imps FC13 August 2026
- D1-1away to Lincoln Red Imps FC6 August 2026
What these results say
- Omonia Nicosia scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Omonia Nicosia had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Cyprus 1. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Karmiotissa | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 6 |
| 2 | Omonia Nicosia | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 6 | +11 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Karmiotissa vs Omonia Nicosia
- 1 February 2025Omonia Nicosia 3–0 Karmiotissa1. Division
- 28 October 2024Karmiotissa 2–6 Omonia Nicosia1. Division
- 16 December 2023Omonia Nicosia 2–1 Karmiotissa1. Division
- 26 August 2023Karmiotissa 3–3 Omonia Nicosia1. Division
- 5 March 2023Karmiotissa 1–2 Omonia Nicosia1. Division
- 5 December 2022Omonia Nicosia 4–0 Karmiotissa1. Division
Leading scorers: Karmiotissa and Omonia Nicosia
Karmiotissa
GoalsAssists
- Patrick Luan11
Omonia Nicosia
GoalsAssists
- L. Diony30
- Ľ. Šatka21
- L. Brouwers20
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Omonia Nicosia won 3–0 at Karmiotissa. The model had made a win for Omonia Nicosia its most likely outcome, at 61%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Luuk Brouwers 60' for Omonia Nicosia, Muamer Tanković 88' for Omonia Nicosia, Lubomír Šatka 90' for Omonia Nicosia.
How the call on Karmiotissa v Omonia Nicosia has moved
First published on 2 Oct at 19% / 27% / 54% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 15% / 24% / 61%: the biggest move is Omonia Nicosia's chance of winning, up 7 points.
- Karmiotissa win15%▼ −4
- Draw24%▼ −3
- Omonia Nicosia win61%▲ +7
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.