9 October 2026, 16:00 UTC

Vejle vs Hvidovre 1. Division prediction & result

Vejle Stadion, Vejle
Referee: M. Lykke
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Vejle 1-2 Hvidovre.

Before kick-off the model made it 47% Vejle, 27% draw, 26% Hvidovre — fair odds of 2.13, 3.70 and 3.85.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Vejle at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Vejle0%Draw5%Hvidovre95%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽M. Duelundassist: G. Marcussen
37'
45+1'
A. Njai
🔁W. Faghirout: L. From
46'
47'
⚽O. Kjaergaardassist: L. Prip
51'
⚽L. Pripassist: O. Kjaergaard
62'
🔁A. Smedout: N. Huygevelde
63'
🔁O. Jensenout: A. Okosun
🔁G. Marcussenout: A. Camara
63'
🔁M. Jensenout: T. Gundelund
63'
63'
🔁D. Bagouout: E. Aby
L. Hetemi
74'
🔁M. Duelundout: B. Edjeodji
77'
🔁L. Hetemiout: M. Vestergaard
77'
79'
🔁L. Pripout: A. Johansen
B. Edjeodji
90+3'
90+3'
A. Njai
90+3'
A. Njai
90+3'
M. Kiilerich

Denmark 1. Division table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Vejle147612616+1027
1Hvidovre149502713+1432

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Vejle vs Hvidovre

  • 18 July 2026Hvidovre 1–1 VejleFriendlies Clubs
  • 20 May 2024Vejle 2–0 HvidovreSuperliga
  • 21 April 2024Hvidovre 2–1 VejleSuperliga
  • 24 November 2023Hvidovre 1–1 VejleSuperliga
  • 8 October 2023Vejle 3–1 HvidovreSuperliga

The result against the call

Hvidovre won 2–1 at Vejle. The model had leaned towards a win for Vejle at 47% and given a win for Hvidovre 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: M. Duelund 37' for Vejle, O. Kjaergaard 47' for Hvidovre, L. Prip 51' for Hvidovre. Sent off: A. Njai (Hvidovre) 90+3'.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Vejle a 38.4% chance to finish top of the regular season: 48.2% after a win, 33.9% after a draw, 21.8% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 21.8%, 16.6 points lower than before the match.

For Hvidovre the question was the chance to finish top of the regular season, 43.3% going in: 61.2% after a win, 45.1% after a draw, 33.4% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 61.2%, 17.9 points higher than before the match.

Read from our 1. Division season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Vejle v Hvidovre has moved

First published on 6 Oct at 44% / 28% / 28% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 47% / 27% / 26%: the biggest move is Vejle's chance of winning, up 3 points.

  1. Vejle win47%▲ +3
  2. Draw27%▼ −1
  3. Hvidovre win26%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.