14 October 2026, 10:00 UTC

Vissel Kobe vs Jeonbuk Motors AFC Champions League Elite prediction & result

Noevir Stadium Kobe, Kobe
Referee: Omar Al-Ali
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Vissel Kobe 2-0 Jeonbuk Motors.

Before kick-off the model made it 49% Vissel Kobe, 27% draw, 24% Jeonbuk Motors — fair odds of 2.04, 3.70 and 4.17.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Vissel Kobe at 49%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Vissel Kobe99%Draw1%Jeonbuk Motors0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Yuya Osakoassist: Katsuya Nagato
11'
45'
🔁Kim Seung-subout: Seung-Woo Lee
⚽Yuya Kuwasakiassist: Yoshinori Muto
68'
🔁Katsuya Nagatoout: Jean Patric Lima dos Reis
71'
🔁Yuya Kuwasakiout: Mitsuki Hidaka
71'
72'
🔁Kim Jin-Gyuout: Lee Yeong-jae
72'
🔁Maeng Seong-ungout: João Gamboa
83'
🔁Italo Vargasout: Tiago Orobó

Match stats — Vissel Kobe vs Jeonbuk Motors

47%Possession53%
13Shots13
3On target4
3Corners6
1.26xG1.77

Goals against chances

Vissel Kobe2 from 1.26 xGmore than the chances were worth
Jeonbuk Motors0 from 1.77 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Vissel Kobe 4-4-2
  • 71S. GondaG
  • 24G. SakaiD
  • 4T. YamakawaD
  • 16CaetanoD
  • 15DiegoD
  • 11Y. MutoM
  • 7Y. IdeguchiM
  • 25Y. KuwasakiM
  • 41K. NagatoM
  • 10Y. OsakoF
  • 94ErikF
Substitutes
  • 21S. AraiG
  • 1D. MaekawaG
  • 3M. ThulerD
  • 2N. IinoD
  • 31T. IwanamiD
  • 43K. YamadaD
  • 5Y. GokeM
  • 20K. WatanabeM
  • 44M. HidakaM
Coach: Michael Skibbe
Jeonbuk Motors 4-2-3-1
  • 31Song Bum-KeunG
  • 77Kim Tae-HyeonD
  • 5Park Ji-SuD
  • 2Kim Young-BinD
  • 66Choi Woo-JinD
  • 97Kim Jin-GyuM
  • 6Maeng Seong-UngM
  • 11Kim Seung-SubM
  • 13Kang Sang-YoonM
  • 95ItaloM
  • 99Bruno MotaF
Substitutes
  • 1Lee Ju-hyeonG
  • 3Yeon Je-WoonD
  • 4Cho Wi-JeD
  • 39Seo Jeong-HyeokD
  • 27Hwang Seung-junD
  • 28Lee Yeong-JaeM
  • 16J. GamboaM
  • 30DodoM
  • 9Tiago OroboF
Coach: Jung-Yong Chung

Form going into Vissel Kobe vs Jeonbuk Motors

Vissel Kobe

AFC Champions League Elite

  • W2-1away to Port FC16 September 2026

Jeonbuk Motors

AFC Champions League Elite

  • W2-1Kashiwa Reysol16 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

AFC Champions League Elite table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Vissel Kobe440083+512
8Jeonbuk Motors421165+17

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Vissel Kobe vs Jeonbuk Motors

  • 22 August 2022Vissel Kobe 1–3 Jeonbuk MotorsAFC Champions League

The result against the call

Vissel Kobe beat Jeonbuk Motors 2–0. The model had made a win for Vissel Kobe its most likely outcome, at 49%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Yuya Osako 11' for Vissel Kobe, Yuya Kuwasaki 68' for Vissel Kobe. On expected goals it finished 1.26–1.77.

How the call on Vissel Kobe v Jeonbuk Motors has moved

First published on 30 Sep at 45% / 28% / 27% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 49% / 27% / 24%: the biggest move is Vissel Kobe's chance of winning, up 4 points.

  1. Vissel Kobe win49%▲ +4
  2. Draw27%▼ −1
  3. Jeonbuk Motors win24%▼ −3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.