Kheybar Khorramabad vs Persepolis FC Persian Gulf Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Kheybar Khorramabad 0-0 Persepolis FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 32% Kheybar Khorramabad, 24% draw, 44% Persepolis FC — fair odds of 3.13, 4.17 and 2.27.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Persian Gulf Pro League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Persepolis FC at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Form going into Kheybar Khorramabad vs Persepolis FC
Kheybar Khorramabad
All competitions we cover
- D2-2away to Chadormalu SC9 October 2026
Persepolis FC
All competitions we cover
- W3-1Sanat Naft9 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Persian Gulf Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Kheybar Khorramabad | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 14 |
| 2 | Persepolis FC | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 7 | +13 | 23 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Kheybar Khorramabad vs Persepolis FC
- 20 February 2026Persepolis FC 1–2 Kheybar KhorramabadPersian Gulf Pro League
- 18 October 2025Kheybar Khorramabad 2–1 Persepolis FCPersian Gulf Pro League
- 8 May 2025Kheybar Khorramabad 1–2 Persepolis FCPersian Gulf Pro League
- 27 December 2024Persepolis FC 2–1 Kheybar KhorramabadPersian Gulf Pro League
Leading scorers: Kheybar Khorramabad and Persepolis FC
Kheybar Khorramabad
No player in Persian Gulf Pro League's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.
Persepolis FC
GoalsAssists
- I. Sergeev10
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Kheybar Khorramabad and Persepolis FC drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Persepolis FC at 44% and given a draw 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Kheybar Khorramabad a 10.3% chance to finish in the bottom three: 1.4% after a win, 8.6% after a draw, 16.6% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 8.6%, 1.7 points lower than before the match.
For Persepolis FC the question was the chance to finish top of the regular season, 41.8% going in: 58.4% after a win, 33.8% after a draw, 21.2% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 33.8%, 8 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Persian Gulf Pro League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Kheybar Khorramabad v Persepolis FC has moved
First published on 6 Oct at 32% / 26% / 42% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 32% / 24% / 44%: the biggest move is Persepolis FC's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Kheybar Khorramabad win32%=
- Draw24%▼ −2
- Persepolis FC win44%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.