Al Sadd vs Al-Hilal AFC Champions League Elite prediction & result
Final score: Al Sadd 0-2 Al-Hilal.
Before kick-off the model made it 23% Al Sadd, 20% draw, 57% Al-Hilal — fair odds of 4.35, 5.00 and 1.75.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All AFC Champions League Elite predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Al-Hilal at 57%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al Sadd vs Al-Hilal
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 22Meshaal BarshamG
- 2Pedro MiguelD
- 16Boualem KhoukhiD
- 26A. RomagnoliD
- 6Paulo OtávioD
- 80A. SoriaM
- 33ClaudinhoM
- 23Hashim AliM
- 9Roberto FirminoM
- 30Akram AfifM
- 17Mohamed Al ManaiF
- 31Yousef Abdulla BaliadehG
- 12Y. AbdurisagF
- 10Hassan Al HaydosF
- 1Saad Al SheebG
- 20Y. AtalD
- 4M. CamaraM
- 3Y. El HannachD
- 11GiovaniF
- 5Tarek SalmanD
- 37Y. BounouG
- 2Mohammed Mater Mohsin MahzariD
- 3K. KoulibalyD
- 4Yusuf AkçiçekD
- 24Moteb Al HarbiD
- 22S. Milinković-SavićM
- 8Rúben NevesM
- 28Mohamed KannoM
- 27Sultan MandashF
- 11O. WatkinsF
- 7Gabriel MartinelliF
- 18Murad Al HawsawiM
- 33Mohammed Al OwaisG
- 73Mohamed Al-SarnukhD
- 96Suhayb Al ZaidM
- 70Saïmon BouabréM
- 72S. DahalF
- 19T. HernándezD
- 78Ali LajamiD
- 75M. MeïtéF
Form going into Al Sadd vs Al-Hilal
Al Sadd
AFC Champions League Elite
- L0-3away to Esteghlal FC14 September 2026
Al-Hilal
AFC Champions League Elite
- W2-1Al-Gharafa15 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
AFC Champions League Elite table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Al Sadd | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 2 |
| 2 | Al-Hilal | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Al Sadd vs Al-Hilal
- 13 April 2026Al-Hilal 3–3 Al SaddAFC Champions League Elite
- 21 October 2025Al-Hilal 3–1 Al SaddAFC Champions League Elite
- 26 November 2024Al Sadd 1–1 Al-HilalAFC Champions League Elite
- 30 July 2023Al-Hilal 2–3 Al SaddArab Club Champions Cup
Leading scorers: Al Sadd and Al-Hilal
Al Sadd
No player in AFC Champions League Elite's leading scorers — 1 league goals as a side.
Al-Hilal
GoalsAssists
- O. Watkins30
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Al-Hilal won 2–0 at Al Sadd. The model had made a win for Al-Hilal its most likely outcome, at 57%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Ollie Watkins 40' for Al-Hilal, Rúben Neves (penalty) 65' for Al-Hilal. On expected goals it finished 0.70–2.26.
How the call on Al Sadd v Al-Hilal has moved
First published on 29 Sep at 27% / 24% / 49% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 23% / 20% / 57%: the biggest move is Al-Hilal's chance of winning, up 8 points.
- Al Sadd win23%▼ −4
- Draw20%▼ −4
- Al-Hilal win57%▲ +8
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.