Công An Nhân Dân vs Kashima AFC Champions League Elite prediction & result
Final score: Công An Nhân Dân 0-1 Kashima.
Before kick-off the model made it 26% Công An Nhân Dân, 27% draw, 47% Kashima — fair odds of 3.85, 3.70 and 2.13.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Kashima at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Công An Nhân Dân vs Kashima
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1F. NguyenG
- 68Bùi Hoàng Việt AnhD
- 38A. LeygleyD
- 5Đoàn Văn HậuD
- 7J. PendantD
- 6S. MaukM
- 19Nguyễn Quang HảiM
- 11Lê Phạm Thành LongM
- 9Nguyen Dinh BacM
- 90B. PereaF
- 10Léo ArturF
- 72Alan GrafiteF
- 15Bui Xuan ThinhM
- 18Đinh Thanh BìnhF
- 12Hoang Van ToanD
- 4Phan Ngọc TínD
- 14Damià SabaterM
- 23Vu Thanh VinhG
- 1T. HayakawaG
- 23K. TsukuiD
- 55N. UedaD
- 3Kim Tae-HyeonD
- 7R. OgawaD
- 27Y. MatsumuraM
- 6K. MisaoM
- 8Matheus BuenoM
- 17ÉlberM
- 40Y. SuzukiF
- 9Léo CearáF
- 30M. YoshidaF
- 21T. YamadaG
- 34H. TokudaF
- 10G. ShibasakiM
- 5I. SekigawaD
- 19S. OmoriD
- 28Y. OkawaD
- 35A. MotosunaD
- 29Y. KajikawaG
Form going into Công An Nhân Dân vs Kashima
Công An Nhân Dân
AFC Champions League Elite
- L1-4away to Gamba Osaka15 September 2026
Kashima
AFC Champions League Elite
- W7-1Newcastle Jets15 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
AFC Champions League Elite table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Công An Nhân Dân | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 2 | Kashima | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 1 | +10 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Công An Nhân Dân and Kashima
Công An Nhân Dân
GoalsAssists
- B. Perea31
Kashima
GoalsAssists
- A. Čavrić40
- H. Tokuda21
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Kashima won 1–0 at Công An Nhân Dân. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Kashima at 47%. The goal: Leygley Adou Minh (own goal) 61' for Kashima. On expected goals it finished 0.79–0.56.
How the call on Công An Nhân Dân v Kashima has moved
First published on 29 Sep at 28% / 28% / 44% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 26% / 27% / 47%: the biggest move is Kashima's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- Công An Nhân Dân win26%▼ −2
- Draw27%▼ −1
- Kashima win47%▲ +3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.