Samsunspor sit 13th in the Süper Lig on 4 points from 5 matches, having scored 6 and conceded 11. The model rates their attack at 0.65× the league average and their defence at 1.23× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — below average at both ends by these numbers. Across their last 5 league matches they have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats, most recently losing to Çorum FK 1-5 at home. That is 0.80 points a match, scoring 1.20 and conceding 2.20 per game across 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats. That leaves them 9 points behind Galatasaray at the top, in a table of 18. Among the 18 rated sides in the division that is the 17th-best attack and the 13th-best defence. They scored in 3 of those 5 and kept 1 clean sheet. Next they travel to Erzurumspor FK in the Süper Lig on 20 September 2026, a match the model gives them 27%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 13 |
| 2 | Beşiktaş | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | +8 | 12 |
| 3 | Amed | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | +7 | 10 |
| 4 | Kasımpaşa | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 9 |
| 5 | Rizespor | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 9 |
| 6 | Kocaelispor | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 9 |
| 7 | Gaziantep FK | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 8 |
| 8 | Alanyaspor | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 8 |
| 9 | Trabzonspor | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 7 |
| 10 | Çorum FK | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 7 |
| 11 | Fenerbahçe | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 7 |
| 12 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
| 13 | Samsunspor | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
| 14 | Başakşehir | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
| 15 | Erzurumspor FK | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 11 | -9 | 4 |
| 16 | Konyaspor | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
| 17 | Eyüpspor | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 3 |
| 18 | Göztepe | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 2 |
Samsunspor sit 13 of 18, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- L1-5Çorum FK12 September 2026
- L0-1away to Kocaelispor6 September 2026
- L0-2Fenerbahçe30 August 2026
- W2-0away to Rizespor22 August 2026
- D3-3Göztepe17 August 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Samsunspor vs Erzurumspor FK
Samsunspor travel to Erzurumspor FK at Erzurum on 20 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. The model makes it 27% Samsunspor, 31% draw and 42% Erzurumspor FK, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0. It projects 0.85 expected goals for Samsunspor against 1.34. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 43% and over 2.5 goals at 37%.
Full preview and model analysis for Samsunspor vs Erzurumspor FK
Recent meetings with Erzurumspor FK
- 30 January 2023Samsunspor 2–1 Erzurumspor FK1. Lig
- 27 August 2022Erzurumspor FK 2–2 Samsunspor1. Lig
- 19 March 2022Erzurumspor FK 1–2 Samsunspor1. Lig
- 23 October 2021Samsunspor 0–0 Erzurumspor FK1. Lig
- 11 February 2018Samsunspor 1–0 Erzurumspor FK1. Lig
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.