16 August 2026, 14:00 UTC

Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala Premier League prediction & result

Samara Arena, Samara
Full time1 – 4

Final score: Krylia Sovetov 1-4 Dinamo Makhachkala.

Before kick-off the model made it 30% Krylia Sovetov, 27% draw, 43% Dinamo Makhachkala — fair odds of 3.33, 3.70 and 2.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Dinamo Makhachkala at 43% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Krylia Sovetov0%Draw1%Dinamo Makhachkala99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

5'
⚽A. Alarcon
9'
Mutalip Alibekov
Kirill Pechenin
16'
22'
⚽N. Glushkov
⚽I. Oleynikov
27'
46'
🔁E. Smelovout: G. Agalarov
Dominik Oroz
51'
🔁S. Babkinout: Y. Gorshkov
62'
🔁A. Rahmanovicout: C. Geoffrey
62'
67'
🔁Miroout: D. Lesovoy
🔁M. Kramaricout: D. Fernandez
72'
🔁N. Rasskazovout: D. Makarov
72'
77'
⚽D. Lesovoy
🔁D. Orozout: M. Banjac
78'
82'
Daniil Lesovoy
Chinedu Geoffrey
83'
85'
🔁M. Azziout: A. Sandrachuk
86'
Gamid Agalarov
Fernando Costanza
90'
90+4'
🔁H. Mrezigueout: S. Kagermazov
90+4'
🔁T. Sundukovout: A. Dzhabrailov
90'
⚽G. Agalarovassist: N. Glushkov

Match stats — Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala

64%Possession36%
20Shots14
5On target8
9Corners5

Line-ups

Krylia Sovetov 4-2-3-1
  • 30S. PesjakovG
  • 22Fernando CostanzaD
  • 5D. OrozD
  • 47S. BozhinD
  • 2K. PecheninD
  • 6S. BabkinM
  • 8M. VityugovM
  • 15N. RasskazovM
  • 10M. KramaricM
  • 19I. OleynikovM
  • 11A. RahmanovicF
Substitutes
  • 80N. KokarevG
  • 39E. FrolovG
  • 72D. FernandezD
  • 18I. LepskiiD
  • 4Y. GorshkovD
  • 3T. GaldamesD
  • 7M. BanjacM
  • 20K. StolbovM
  • 26J. MarinM
Coach: Sergey Bulatov
Dinamo Makhachkala 5-3-2
  • 39T. MagomedovG
  • 22M. AzziD
  • 43I. AkhmedovD
  • 99M. AlibekovD
  • 24A. AlarconD
  • 77T. SundukovD
  • 16H. MrezigueM
  • 6M. ApshatsevM
  • 47N. GlushkovM
  • 11MiroF
  • 52E. SmelovF
Substitutes
  • 1D. VolkG
  • 13S. KagermazovD
  • 72A. SandrachukD
  • 21A. DzhabrailovM
  • 9R. MagomedovM
  • 19K. ZinovichM
  • 88D. LesovoyM
  • 25G. AgalarovF
  • 7H. MastouriF
Coach: Vadim Evseev

Form going into Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala

Krylia Sovetov

  • L0-2Baltika8 August 2026

Dinamo Makhachkala

  • L1-3away to Dynamo9 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Krylia Sovetov92521314-111
7Dinamo Makhachkala84041413+112

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala

  • 16 August 2026Krylia Sovetov 1–4 Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
  • 4 August 2026Dinamo Makhachkala 1–2 Krylia SovetovCup
  • 8 March 2026Krylia Sovetov 2–0 Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
  • 1 November 2025Dinamo Makhachkala 2–0 Krylia SovetovPremier League
  • 15 March 2025Dinamo Makhachkala 4–0 Krylia SovetovPremier League
  • 2 October 2024Krylia Sovetov 3–3 Dinamo MakhachkalaCup

Leading scorers: Krylia Sovetov and Dinamo Makhachkala

Krylia Sovetov

  • I. Oleynikov3 goals2 assists

Dinamo Makhachkala

  • G. Agalarov4 goals
  • N. Glushkov2 goals2 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.