FC Rostov vs Fakel Premier League prediction & result
Final score: FC Rostov 3-1 Fakel.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% FC Rostov, 33% draw, 30% Fakel — fair odds of 2.70, 3.03 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Russian Premier League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
FC Rostov at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Rostov vs Fakel
Line-ups
- 84A. PetrovG
- 5Y. MikhailovD
- 4V. MelekhinD
- 3O. SakoD
- 40Ygor NogueiraD
- 87A. LangovichD
- 10I. KomarovM
- 8A. MironovM
- 18K. KuchaevM
- 6O. OlusegunM
- 99T. SuleymanovF
- 34D. A. GolikovG
- 22D. SemenchukD
- 27D. ProkhinD
- 16M. MukhinM
- 21D. ShantaliyM
- 80K. MadrakhimovF
- 17E. GolenkovF
- 91A. ShamoninF
- 11I. M. AjasaF
- 1D. FrolkinG
- 5A. GabaraevD
- 40Clayton SampaioD
- 53M. BardachevD
- 22H. El MhassaniM
- 23V. YakimovM
- 97B. MagomedovM
- 55D. TodorovicM
- 99N. GiorgobianiF
- 9A. Gnapi DableF
- 11A. SutorminF
- 96I. ObukhovG
- 35V. DorovskikhG
- 20I. YurganovD
- 44Y. ZhuravlevD
- 8A. BagamaevM
- 52R. NetfullinM
- 17A. KovalevM
- 90A. KoksharovF
- 19B. PusiF
Form going into FC Rostov vs Fakel
FC Rostov
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to FC Krasnodar29 August 2026
- L1-4away to Akhmat22 August 2026
- D1-1Rubin15 August 2026
- D0-0away to CSKA Moscow8 August 2026
Fakel
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Zenit29 August 2026
- D0-0FC Orenburg22 August 2026
- L0-1away to CSKA Moscow15 August 2026
- D0-0Akhmat10 August 2026
What these results say
- FC Rostov did not win any of these 4 matches.
- FC Rostov conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for FC Rostov had two goals or fewer.
- Fakel did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Fakel failed to score in every one of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Fakel had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Russia Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FC Rostov | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
| 16 | Fakel | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Rostov vs Fakel
- 15 July 2026FC Rostov 2–1 FakelFriendlies Clubs
- 7 July 2026Fakel 3–1 FC RostovFriendlies Clubs
- 20 April 2025Fakel 0–2 FC RostovPremier League
- 1 September 2024FC Rostov 4–1 FakelPremier League
- 27 June 2024Fakel 0–1 FC RostovFriendlies Clubs
- 14 April 2024Fakel Voronezh 0–1 FC RostovPremier League
The result against the call
FC Rostov beat Fakel 3–1. The model had made a win for FC Rostov its most likely outcome, at 37%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: A. Mironov 56' for FC Rostov, K. Kuchaev 59' for FC Rostov, O. Sako 64' for FC Rostov, A. Koksharov 89' for Fakel.