FC Rostov vs Fakel Premier League prediction & result
Final score: FC Rostov 3-1 Fakel.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% FC Rostov, 33% draw, 30% Fakel — fair odds of 2.70, 3.03 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Rostov at 37% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into FC Rostov vs Fakel
FC Rostov
- L0-1away to FC Krasnodar29 August 2026
- L1-4away to Akhmat22 August 2026
- D1-1Rubin15 August 2026
Fakel
- L0-1Zenit29 August 2026
- D0-0FC Orenburg22 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | FC Rostov | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 | Fakel | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Rostov vs Fakel
- 15 July 2026FC Rostov 2–1 FakelFriendlies Clubs
- 7 July 2026Fakel 3–1 FC RostovFriendlies Clubs
- 20 April 2025Fakel 0–2 FC RostovPremier League
- 1 September 2024FC Rostov 4–1 FakelPremier League
- 27 June 2024Fakel 0–1 FC RostovFriendlies Clubs
- 14 April 2024Fakel Voronezh 0–1 FC RostovPremier League