Zenit vs CSKA Moscow Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Zenit 1-2 CSKA Moscow.
Before kick-off the model made it 52% Zenit, 26% draw, 22% CSKA Moscow — fair odds of 1.92, 3.85 and 4.55.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Zenit at 52%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Zenit vs CSKA Moscow
Line-ups
- 16D. AdamovG
- 31Gustavo MantuanD
- 25K. AndradeD
- 28N. AlipD
- 66R. VegaD
- 5W. BarriosM
- 93A. KarpukasM
- 11Luiz HenriqueM
- 10M. GlushenkovM
- 14Jhon JhonM
- 7A. SobolevF
- 71D. OdoevskiyG
- 57B. MoskvichevG
- 3Douglas SantosD
- 33NinoD
- 15V. KaravaevD
- 82S. VolkovD
- 21A. ErokhinM
- 38A. MusaevM
- 61D. KondakovM
- 49V. ToropG
- 4Joao VictorD
- 79K. DanilovD
- 23D. AbdulkadyrovD
- 21M. AzziM
- 10I. OblyakovM
- 31M. KislyakM
- 2Matheus ReisM
- 3D. KrugovoyF
- 17K. GlebovF
- 32L. GondouF
- 85E. BesaevG
- 39M. BoriskoG
- 90M. LukinD
- 20M. PopovicM
- 87A. PonomarchukM
- 84A. VakulichM
- 7Matheus AlvesM
- 18D. KozlovM
- 52A. BandikyanM
Form going into Zenit vs CSKA Moscow
Zenit
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to Fakel29 August 2026
- L0-2away to Spartak Moscow23 August 2026
- W3-0Dynamo16 August 2026
- L1-2Rodina Moskva9 August 2026
CSKA Moscow
All competitions we cover
- D2-2away to Akron28 August 2026
- W3-2Lokomotiv22 August 2026
- W1-0Fakel15 August 2026
- D0-0FC Rostov8 August 2026
What these results say
- Zenit scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- CSKA Moscow went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- CSKA Moscow scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Russia Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 15 | +17 | 31 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 16 | +7 | 26 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Zenit vs CSKA Moscow
- 2 May 2026CSKA Moscow 1–3 ZenitPremier League
- 10 February 2026Zenit 2–2 CSKA MoscowFriendlies Clubs
- 3 August 2025Zenit 1–1 CSKA MoscowPremier League
- 14 May 2025CSKA Moscow 2–0 ZenitCup
- 30 April 2025Zenit 2–0 CSKA MoscowCup
- 1 March 2025Zenit 0–0 CSKA MoscowPremier League
Leading scorers: Zenit and CSKA Moscow
Zenit
GoalsAssists
- M. Glushenkov105
- A. Sobolev102
CSKA Moscow
GoalsAssists
- I. Oblyakov71
- I. Oleynikov34
- K. Glebov31
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
CSKA Moscow won 2–1 at Zenit. The model had leaned towards a win for Zenit at 52% and given a win for CSKA Moscow 22%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: I. Oblyakov (penalty) 45' for CSKA Moscow, A. Sobolev 84' for Zenit, I. Oblyakov 90' for CSKA Moscow.