5 September 2026, 13:30 UTC

Zenit vs CSKA Moscow Premier League prediction & result

Gazprom Arena, Saint Petersburg
Full time1 2

Final score: Zenit 1-2 CSKA Moscow.

Before kick-off the model made it 52% Zenit, 26% draw, 22% CSKA Moscow — fair odds of 1.92, 3.85 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Zenit at 52% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into Zenit vs CSKA Moscow

Zenit

  • W1-0away to Fakel29 August 2026
  • L0-2away to Spartak Moscow23 August 2026

CSKA Moscow

  • D2-2away to Akron28 August 2026
  • W3-2Lokomotiv22 August 2026
  • W1-0Fakel15 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Zenit9603199+1018
5CSKA Moscow8440128+416

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Zenit vs CSKA Moscow

  • 2 May 2026CSKA Moscow 1–3 ZenitPremier League
  • 10 February 2026Zenit 2–2 CSKA MoscowFriendlies Clubs
  • 3 August 2025Zenit 1–1 CSKA MoscowPremier League
  • 14 May 2025CSKA Moscow 2–0 ZenitCup
  • 30 April 2025Zenit 2–0 CSKA MoscowCup
  • 1 March 2025Zenit 0–0 CSKA MoscowPremier League

Leading scorers: Zenit and CSKA Moscow

Zenit

  • A. Sobolev6 goals1 assists
  • M. Glushenkov5 goals2 assists

CSKA Moscow

  • I. Oblyakov4 goals
  • L. Gondou2 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.