17 October 2026, 12:30 UTC

Kudrivka vs Bukovyna Premier League prediction & result

Avangard, Rivne
Referee: Sergei Zadyran, Ukraine
Full time4 – 1

Final score: Kudrivka 4-1 Bukovyna.

Before kick-off the model made it 32% Kudrivka, 28% draw, 40% Bukovyna — fair odds of 3.13, 3.57 and 2.50.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Bukovyna at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Kudrivka99%Draw1%Bukovyna0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Denys Svityukhaassist: Faites Prévu Kaya Makosso
3'
⚽Artur Dumanyuk (pen)
16'
🔁Denys Svityukhaout: Oleksandr Beljaev
45'
⚽Ivan Petryakassist: Raymond Owusu
50'
57'
⚽Vitaliy Dakhnovskyi (pen)
Dmytro Semenov
58'
59'
🔁Andriy Buskoout: Mor Talla Gaye
59'
🔁Maksym Zaderakaout: Danylo Kravchuk
Bogdan Veklyak
60'
69'
🔁Vitaliy Grushaout: Mihael Klepač
69'
🔁Vitaliy Dakhnovskyiout: E. Odinaka
🔁Faites Prévu Kaya Makossoout: Yevgeniy Smyrnyi
71'
🔁Artur Dumanyukout: Mykola Vechurko
71'
Mykola Vechurko
72'
🔁Ivan Petryakout: Rodion Plaksa
78'
⚽Raymond Owusuassist: Oleksandr Beljaev
79'
82'
🔁Oleh·Kozhushkoout: F. Babak
🔁Raymond Owusuout: Kyrylo Sigeev
82'
89'
Mihael Klepač

Match stats — Kudrivka vs Bukovyna

44%Possession56%
7Shots7
4On target3
2Corners7

Line-ups

Kudrivka 4-3-2-1
  • 37A. YashkovG
  • 42Y. PasichD
  • 17M. SerdyukD
  • 22B. VeklyakD
  • 91M. MelnychukD
  • 19A. DumanyukM
  • 50D. SemenovM
  • 14K. MakossoM
  • 20D. SvityukhaM
  • 7I. PetryakM
  • 24R. OwusuF
Substitutes
  • 73Mykhailo KulykG
  • 25Mykola OharkovD
  • 21O. BelyaevM
  • 8Y. SmyrnyiM
  • 9R. VerleyF
  • 10R. PlaksaM
  • 70D. YesinM
  • 71S. StenM
  • 6M. VechurkoM
Coach: Yevgen Zadorozhniy
Bukovyna 4-1-4-1
  • 94H. PenkovG
  • 24A. BuskoD
  • 5V. PryymakD
  • 3M. BezuglyiD
  • 95P. StasyukD
  • 44V. VitenchukM
  • 97O. IlyinM
  • 20M. ZaderakaM
  • 25V. GrushaM
  • 11V. DakhnovskyiM
  • 7O. KozhushkoF
Substitutes
  • 21D. KravchukF
  • 78M. YakhontovD
  • 77M. KlepačF
  • 70M. GayeM
  • 17F. BabakM
  • 12Y. PidlepenetsM
  • 69E. RomanetsD
  • 18E. OdinakaD
  • 4T. SakivD
Coach: S. Shishchenko

Form going into Kudrivka vs Bukovyna

Kudrivka

Premier League

  • L1-2away to LNZ Cherkasy11 October 2026

Bukovyna

Premier League

  • D2-2Polessya11 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ukraine Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
15Kudrivka122281229-178
8Bukovyna122731113-213

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Kudrivka vs Bukovyna

  • 3 May 2025Kudrivka 2–0 BukovynaPersha Liga
  • 6 April 2025Bukovyna 1–0 KudrivkaPersha Liga

Leading scorers: Kudrivka and Bukovyna

Kudrivka

GoalsAssists

  • Y. Smyrnyi30
  • D. Svityukha22
  • R. Owusu21

Bukovyna

No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Kudrivka beat Bukovyna 4–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Bukovyna at 40% and given a win for Kudrivka 32%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Denys Svityukha 3' for Kudrivka, Artur Dumanyuk (penalty) 16' for Kudrivka, Ivan Petryak 50' for Kudrivka, Vitaliy Dakhnovskyi (penalty) 57' for Bukovyna, Raymond Owusu 79' for Kudrivka.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Kudrivka a 87.3% chance to finish in the bottom three: 82.1% after a win, 87.9% after a draw, 90.9% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 82.1%, 5.2 points lower than before the match.

For Bukovyna the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 8.9% going in: 5.6% after a win, 8.8% after a draw, 12.6% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 12.6%, 3.7 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Kudrivka v Bukovyna has moved

First published on 3 Oct at 33% / 30% / 37% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 32% / 28% / 40%: the biggest move is Bukovyna's chance of winning, up 3 points.

  1. Kudrivka win32%▼ −1
  2. Draw28%▼ −2
  3. Bukovyna win40%▲ +3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.