11 October 2026, 21:30 UTC

LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC Liga Pro prediction & result

Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito
Referee: Yerson Zambrano
Full time2 – 1

Final score: LDU de Quito 2-1 Barcelona SC.

Before kick-off the model made it 39% LDU de Quito, 31% draw, 30% Barcelona SC — fair odds of 2.56, 3.23 and 3.33.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

LDU de Quito at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

39'
⚽Jesús Pretell (OG)
51'
Bryan Carabali
⚽Fernando Cornejo
53'
Gian Franco Allala
57'
60'
🔁Johan Garciaout: Jhonny Quinonez
67'
🔁Bryan Carabaliout: Jandry Gomez
67'
🔁Jefferson Wilaout: Darío Benedetto
🔁Leonel Quinonezout: Jose Carabali
72'
🔁Lucas Rodriguezout: Alexander Alvarado
72'
🔁Janner Corozoout: Elvis Kevin Velasco Chere
73'
78'
🔁Damián Díazout: Tomás Martínez
78'
🔁Tomás Rodríguezout: Sergio Díaz
79'
Jhonny Quinonez
80'
José Contreras
⚽Alexander Alvarado
81'
Alexander Alvarado
83'
83'
Christian Javier Báez
🔁Fernando Cornejoout: Sebastián González
90'
🔁Michael Estradaout: Deyverson
90'
90+4'
William Vargas
Deyverson
90+6'

Match stats — LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC

55%Possession45%
13Shots7
6On target4
8Corners6
0xG0

Goals against chances

LDU de Quito2 from 0.00 xGmore than the chances were worth
Barcelona SC1 from 0.00 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

LDU de Quito 3-5-2
  • 1G. ValleG
  • 30G. AllalaD
  • 4Ricardo AdeD
  • 33Leonel Enrique Quiñónez PadillaD
  • 57M. WeigandtM
  • 20F. CornejoM
  • 8J. PretellM
  • 7L. RodríguezM
  • 23Yerlin QuinonezM
  • 13J. CorozoF
  • 11M. EstradaF
Substitutes
  • 77K. VelascoF
  • 44L. SegoviaD
  • 31J. RodríguezM
  • 18Washington Nahir Olvera ZambranoM
  • 3Richard Alexander Mina CaicedoD
  • 26I. ZambranoM
  • 10Alexander Antonio Alvarado CarrielM
  • 16DeyversonF
  • 67J. CarabalíM
Coach: Gustavo Álvarez
Barcelona SC 4-2-3-1
  • 1J. ContrerasG
  • 18B. CarabalíD
  • 33J. BáezD
  • 4G. VallecillaD
  • 15J. PerlazaD
  • 32M. LugoM
  • 27W. VargasM
  • 50J. GarcíaM
  • 10D. DíazM
  • 51Jefferson WilaM
  • 11T. RodríguezF
Substitutes
  • 8S. DíazF
  • 44J. ChaláD
  • 26B. CastilloD
  • 16L. CanoF
  • 9D. BenedettoF
  • 13José Luis AnguloG
  • 80Jandry GomezM
  • 23T. MartínezM
  • 70M. MejíaF
Coach: Pablo Trobbiani

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4LDU de Quito36159123832+654
6Barcelona SC351213103932+749

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC

  • 27 July 2026Barcelona SC 0–1 LDU de QuitoLiga Pro
  • 4 April 2026LDU de Quito 0–2 Barcelona SCLiga Pro
  • 23 November 2025Barcelona SC 2–2 LDU de QuitoLiga Pro
  • 18 October 2025LDU de Quito 3–0 Barcelona SCLiga Pro
  • 25 July 2025Barcelona SC 0–1 LDU de QuitoLiga Pro

The full LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC record →

Leading scorers: LDU de Quito and Barcelona SC

LDU de Quito

GoalsAssists

  • M. Estrada72

Barcelona SC

GoalsAssists

  • D. Benedetto92

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

LDU de Quito beat Barcelona SC 2–1. The model had made a win for LDU de Quito its most likely outcome, at 39%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Jesús Pretell (own goal) 39' for Barcelona SC, Fernando Cornejo 53' for LDU de Quito, Alexander Alvarado 81' for LDU de Quito. Sent off: William Vargas (Barcelona SC) 90+4', Deyverson (LDU de Quito) 90+6'. On expected goals it finished 0.00–0.00.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.