Lech Poznan vs KI Klaksvik UEFA Europa League prediction & result
Final score: Lech Poznan 1-0 KI Klaksvik.
Before kick-off the model made it 76% Lech Poznan, 16% draw, 8% KI Klaksvik — fair odds of 1.32, 6.25 and 12.50. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Lech Poznan at 76% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Lech Poznan vs KI Klaksvik
Line-ups
- 1M. LisG
- 2J. PereiraD
- 59T. YegbeD
- 27W. MonkaD
- 15M. GurgulD
- 43A. KozubalM
- 22R. MurawskiM
- 10P. WalemarkM
- 21P. RodriguezM
- 17A. SayyadmaneshM
- 9M. IshakF
- 35M. PruchniewskiG
- 41B. MrozekG
- 7Y. AgneroF
- 11D. HakansM
- 20R. GumnyD
- 53K. DelikatM
- 72M. SkrzypczakD
- 77L. PalmaM
- 96M. JensenG
- 5D. PavlovicM
- 26G. SorensenD
- 2G. TellecheaD
- 23J. DanielsenD
- 4M. SinyanM
- 28O. AliM
- 36Jean CarlosD
- 7A. FrederiksbergM
- 9P. KlettskardF
- 17F. BrattbakkM
- 12N. Christensen
- 16R. JosephsenG
- 6D. JohansenD
- 11J. JohannesenM
- 14R. JoensenM
- 20E. HustadF
- 24M. GonzalezM
- 27D. ReynheimF
- 33J. Joensen
Form going into Lech Poznan vs KI Klaksvik
Lech Poznan
- W2-1away to Wieczysta Kraków1 August 2026
- L1-4Aarhus29 July 2026
- D0-0Cracovia Krakow25 July 2026
- W4-1away to Aarhus21 July 2026
KI Klaksvik
- L0-1away to Kauno Žalgiris29 July 2026
- D0-0Kauno Žalgiris21 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Head-to-head: Lech Poznan vs KI Klaksvik
- 6 August 2026Lech Poznan 1–0 KI KlaksvikUEFA Europa League
Leading scorers: Lech Poznan and KI Klaksvik
Lech Poznan
- A. Sayyadmanesh4 goals
KI Klaksvik
No leading scorers listed yet.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.