6 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Omonia Nicosia UEFA Europa League prediction & result

Victoria Stadium, Gibraltar
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Lincoln Red Imps FC 1-1 Omonia Nicosia.

Before kick-off the model made it 21% Lincoln Red Imps FC, 20% draw, 59% Omonia Nicosia — fair odds of 4.76, 5.00 and 1.69. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Omonia Nicosia at 59% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Lincoln Red Imps FC93%Draw7%Omonia Nicosia0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

40'
Mateo Marić
63'
🔁M. Mayambelaout: M. Tankovic
63'
🔁L. Dionyout: A. Neofytou
Ayman El Ghobashy
66'
Manuel Toledano
67'
⚽C. Rutjensassist: F. Alvarez
71'
🔁N. Pintoout: A. Mula
72'
🔁T. Cardozoout: E. Jolley
77'
80'
🔁J. Montnorout: A. Chatzigiovanis
Joe
82'
🔁Y. Flalhi Idrissiout: L. Mason
85'
🔁A. El Ghobashyout: E. Britto
85'
Leon Mason
89'
Jaylan Hankins
90+4'
90+4'
Jure Balkovec
90'
⚽P. Andreou

Match stats — Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Omonia Nicosia

44%Possession56%
2On target6
7Corners2

Line-ups

Lincoln Red Imps FC 4-1-4-1
  • 13J. Hankins
  • 5T. CardozoD
  • 6B. LopesD
  • 3C. RutjensD
  • 66J. EerstelingD
  • 23JoeM
  • 44M. ToledanoF
  • 19Y. Flalhi IdrissiF
  • 32F. AlvarezF
  • 4N. Pinto
  • 99A. El Ghobashy
Substitutes
  • 1Nauzet SantanaG
  • 27M. HammG
  • 2E. JolleyD
  • 9K. GomezF
  • 10A. MulaM
  • 16L. MasonM
  • 20E. BrittoD
  • 21NanoM
  • 22G. TorrillaM
Coach: Juan Bezares
Omonia Nicosia 4-3-3
  • 40Fabiano FreitasG
  • 82A. Christou
  • 27S. SimicD
  • 30N. PanagiotouD
  • 29J. BalkovecD
  • 74P. AndreouM
  • 11EwandroM
  • 14M. MaricM
  • 21M. MayambelaM
  • 99L. DionyF
  • 7J. MontnorM
Substitutes
  • 23F. UzohoG
  • 78P. MichailG
  • 10A. ChatzigiovanisM
  • 22M. TankovicM
  • 31I. KousoulosM
  • 85A. NeofytouF
  • 88C. EvangelouF
  • 90C. KonstantinidisD
  • 91K. PanagiF
Coach: Henning Berg

Form going into Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Omonia Nicosia

Lincoln Red Imps FC

  • D0-0Mjallby AIF28 July 2026
  • L0-3away to Mjallby AIF21 July 2026

Omonia Nicosia

  • L0-1away to Kairat Almaty29 July 2026
  • W1-0Kairat Almaty22 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Lincoln Red Imps FC and Omonia Nicosia in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
6Omonia NicosiaUEFA Europa League110010+13

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Lincoln Red Imps FC has not started the league season yet. Full tables: UEFA Europa Conference League · UEFA Europa League

Head-to-head: Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Omonia Nicosia

  • 6 August 2026Lincoln Red Imps FC 1–1 Omonia NicosiaUEFA Europa League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.