Hradec Králové vs Beşiktaş UEFA Europa League prediction & result
Final score: Hradec Králové 0-1 Beşiktaş.
Before kick-off the model made it 52% Hradec Králové, 23% draw, 25% Beşiktaş — fair odds of 1.92, 4.35 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Hradec Králové at 52% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Hradec Králové vs Beşiktaş
Line-ups
- 12A. ZadrazilG
- 7J. UhrincatD
- 5F. CihakD
- 25F. CechD
- 28J. KuceraM
- 16V. DaridaM
- 11S. DancakM
- 26D. HorakM
- 10M. van BurenF
- 19T. SloncikF
- 17O. MihalikF
- 1P. VizekG
- 20M. VagnerG
- 9M. ValentaM
- 2D. LudvicekD
- 14J. HodekF
- 6E. NetoM
- 22S. PonikelskyM
- 27D. TrubacM
- 18M. RegzaF
- 1A. NubelG
- 62M. MurilloD
- 35T. DjaloD
- 53E. TopcuD
- 11K. OuattaraD
- 6S. OzcanM
- 18V. CernyM
- 15J. OlaitanM
- 10O. KokcuM
- 29I. FakiliM
- 9Oh Hyeon-GyuF
- 80D. AlemdarG
- 7M. RashicaM
- 14F. UduokhaiD
- 12E. AgbadouD
- 22T. BulutD
- 58Y. Ozcan
- 4W. NdidiM
- 5A. HadziahmetovicM
- 8K. Kayra YilmazM
Form going into Hradec Králové vs Beşiktaş
Hradec Králové
- D0-0away to Bohemians 19052 August 2026
- W3-1Tromso30 July 2026
- W2-1Pardubice26 July 2026
- W1-0away to Tromso23 July 2026
Beşiktaş
- W2-0away to FC Midtjylland30 July 2026
- W1-0FC Midtjylland23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Hradec Králové and Beşiktaş in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hradec Králové | Czech Liga | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 14 |
| 2 | Beşiktaş | Süper Lig | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | +8 | 12 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Czech Liga · Süper Lig
Head-to-head: Hradec Králové vs Beşiktaş
- 6 August 2026Hradec Králové 0–1 BeşiktaşUEFA Europa League
Leading scorers: Hradec Králové and Beşiktaş
Hradec Králové
- T. Slončík3 goals
Beşiktaş
- D. Vlahović4 goals
- V. Černý2 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.