6 August 2026, 18:00 UTC

FC Thun vs Vikingur Reykjavik UEFA Europa League prediction & result

Stockhorn Arena, Thun
Full time3 – 0

Final score: FC Thun 3-0 Vikingur Reykjavik.

Before kick-off the model made it 65% FC Thun, 18% draw, 17% Vikingur Reykjavik — fair odds of 1.54, 5.56 and 5.88. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FC Thun at 65% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Thun99%Draw1%Vikingur Reykjavik0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽J. Bamertassist: F. Fehr
19'
⚽B. Labeauassist: M. Gutbub
25'
Michael Heule
45+5'
45+4'
Daniel Hafsteinsson
46'
🔁S. Haukssonout: V. Ingimundarson
61'
Aron Elís Þrándarson
🔁N. Maierout: N. Reichmuth
62'
Nassim Zoukit
66'
🔁N. Zoukitout: F. Saiz
71'
🔁M. Gutbubout: S. Lengen
72'
72'
🔁K. Gunnarssonout: D. Atlason
72'
🔁D. Hafsteinssonout: V. Andrason
83'
🔁A. Thrandarsonout: N. Hansen
83'
🔁S. Thorkelssonout: R. Thorkelsson
🔁B. Labeauout: L. Stewart
88'
⚽F. Saiz
90'

Match stats — FC Thun vs Vikingur Reykjavik

46%Possession54%
7On target2
6Corners4

Line-ups

FC Thun 4-4-2
  • 1N. SteffenG
  • 47F. FehrD
  • 5N. BurgyD
  • 19J. BamertD
  • 27M. HeuleD
  • 30N. MaierF
  • 16J. RothM
  • 13N. ZoukitM
  • 78V. MatoshiM
  • 33M. GutbubF
  • 96B. LabeauF
Substitutes
  • 25T. SpycherG
  • 34L. StuckiG
  • 8F. Saiz
  • 9F. DursunF
  • 21D. DerbaciM
  • 80S. LengenF
  • 54L. PassavantD
  • 11L. StewartF
  • 70N. ReichmuthM
Coach: Luca Privitelli Gian
Vikingur Reykjavik 4-3-3
  • 29A. FridrikssonG
  • 22K. GunnarssonD
  • 4O. EkrothD
  • 6G. VatnhamarD
  • 2S. ThorkelssonD
  • 11D. HafsteinssonM
  • 10G. SigurdssonM
  • 9H. GudjonssonD
  • 77S. ThordarsonM
  • 21A. ThrandarsonM
  • 30S. HaukssonM
Substitutes
  • 99U. Audunsson
  • 7E. AgnarssonM
  • 25V. IngimundarsonF
  • 69A. FinnbogasonM
  • 18D. JonssonM
  • 23N. HansenF
  • 24D. AtlasonD
  • 8V. AndrasonM
  • 15R. ThorkelssonD
Coach: Solvi Ottesen

Form going into FC Thun vs Vikingur Reykjavik

FC Thun

  • L0-6BSC Young Boys1 August 2026
  • L2-3away to Dinamo Zagreb28 July 2026
  • W3-1away to FC Luzern25 July 2026
  • D1-1Dinamo Zagreb21 July 2026

Vikingur Reykjavik

  • L0-2away to Hapoel Beer Sheva29 July 2026
  • W2-1Hapoel Beer Sheva21 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: FC Thun vs Vikingur Reykjavik

  • 6 August 2026FC Thun 3–0 Vikingur ReykjavikUEFA Europa League

Leading scorers: FC Thun and Vikingur Reykjavik

FC Thun

  • B. Labeau3 goals

Vikingur Reykjavik

No leading scorers listed yet.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.