17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC

Levadiakos vs Volos NFC Super League 1 prediction & result

Levadia Stadium, Levadia
Referee: Anastasios Papapetrou
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Levadiakos 0-0 Volos NFC.

Before kick-off the model made it 47% Levadiakos, 26% draw, 27% Volos NFC — fair odds of 2.13, 3.85 and 3.70.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Levadiakos at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Levadiakos5%Draw92%Volos NFC3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

14'
Maximiliano Comba
Mohamed Ndiaye
17'
27'
•Keidi Bare
28'
Keidi Bare
Jonathan Panzo
32'
38'
🔁Jan Hurtadoout: Vasileios Grosdis
•Agustin Urzi
45+1'
🔁Dimitrios Emmanouilidisout: Ognjen Ožegović
45'
🔁Mohamed Ndiayeout: Mohamed Elneny
45'
🔁Alexandru Grigoraş Panteaout: Marios Vichos
56'
61'
🔁Stefanos Katsikasout: Eleftherios Tasiouras
61'
🔁Rémy Cabellaout: Lazaros Lamprou
68'
🔁Matías Nahuel Gonzálezout: Giorgos Charalampoglou
68'
🔁Hamza Mendylout: Quentin Lecoeuche
🔁Konstantinos Goumasout: Mahamadou Balde
70'
76'
Lazaros Lamprou
Mohamed Elneny
76'
77'
Giannis Kargas
🔁Agustin Urziout: Juan Bauza
81'
Mohamed Elneny
84'
89'
Eleftherios Tasiouras

Match stats — Levadiakos vs Volos NFC

68%Possession32%
14Shots4
4On target1
9Corners2
1.36xG0.3

Goals against chances

Levadiakos0 from 1.36 xGless than the chances were worth
Volos NFC0 from 0.30 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Levadiakos 4-2-3-1
  • 55N. EliasiG
  • 14G. ManthatisD
  • 24P. LiagasD
  • 4Jonathan PanzoD
  • 2A. PanteaD
  • 66M. NdiayeM
  • 18I. KostiM
  • 11A. UrziM
  • 20K. GoumasM
  • 30Octavian PopescuM
  • 17D. EmmanouilidisF
Substitutes
  • 3M. VichosM
  • 27G. RodríguezF
  • 9O. OžegovićF
  • 33Lucas AnackerG
  • 8G. NikasM
  • 22M. FilonD
  • 77G. VrakasF
  • 15A. ȘutM
  • 37I. TsivelekidisD
Coach: I. Charalambous
Volos NFC 4-2-3-1
  • 1M. SiampanisG
  • 28S. KatsikasD
  • 99D. AgyakwaD
  • 4G. KargasD
  • 37H. MendylD
  • 8M. CombaM
  • 88K. BareM
  • 20Xesc RegisM
  • 21M. GonzálezM
  • 5R. CabellaM
  • 9Jan HurtadoF
Substitutes
  • 27D. BurnićM
  • 49G. CharalampoglouF
  • 17V. GrosdisM
  • 7L. LamprouM
  • 13Q. LecoeucheD
  • 72E. TasiourasD
  • 89F. RefatllariM
  • 18R. Pierre-GabrielD
  • 82Athanasios Papathanasiou GerofokoasG
Coach: K. Bratsos

Form going into Levadiakos vs Volos NFC

Levadiakos

Super League 1

  • L0-2away to Iraklis 190811 October 2026

Volos NFC

Super League 1

  • L2-3away to Aris Thessalonikis11 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Super League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13Levadiakos10136413-96
14Volos NFC10037719-120

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Levadiakos vs Volos NFC

  • 10 May 2026Volos NFC 0–3 LevadiakosSuper League 1
  • 3 May 2026Levadiakos 5–2 Volos NFCSuper League 1
  • 11 January 2026Levadiakos 3–1 Volos NFCSuper League 1
  • 24 November 2025Volos NFC 1–2 LevadiakosSuper League 1
  • 22 May 2025Levadiakos 3–2 Volos NFCSuper League 1
  • 12 April 2025Volos NFC 1–0 LevadiakosSuper League 1

The result against the call

Levadiakos and Volos NFC drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Levadiakos at 47% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. Sent off: Keidi Bare (Volos NFC) 28', Mohamed Elneny (Levadiakos) 84'. On expected goals it finished 1.36–0.30.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Levadiakos a 64.5% chance to finish in the bottom three: 58.6% after a win, 69.3% after a draw, 73.3% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 69.3%, 4.8 points higher than before the match.

For Volos NFC the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 86.3% going in: 80.6% after a win, 85.0% after a draw, 90.2% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 85.0%, 1.3 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Super League 1 season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Levadiakos v Volos NFC has moved

First published on 3 Oct at 45% / 28% / 27% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 47% / 26% / 27%: the biggest move is Levadiakos's chance of winning, up 2 points.

  1. Levadiakos win47%▲ +2
  2. Draw26%▼ −2
  3. Volos NFC win27%=

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.