Macarthur FC vs Perth Glory A-League prediction & result
Final score: Macarthur FC 2-1 Perth Glory.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Macarthur FC, 25% draw, 36% Perth Glory — fair odds of 2.56, 4.00 and 2.78.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Macarthur FC at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Macarthur FC vs Perth Glory
Line-ups
- 1Alex RobinsonG
- 25Callum TalbotD
- 3Nara TatsukiD
- 5Jonathan AspropotamitisD
- 21Nathan PaullD
- 22Liam RoseM
- 17Oliver RandazzoM
- 8Luke VickeryM
- 9Ben GibsonM
- 7Connor PainM
- 16Apostolos StamatelopoulosF
- 10Ryan FraserF
- 11BernardoF
- 99Musa TouréF
- 24Dean BosnjakF
- 27Jing ReecF
- 30Joshua LakkisG
- 18Dylan RoseM
- 1Matt SuttonG
- 30Tadiwanashe KuzambaD
- 18Cher DengD
- 5Lachlan JacksonD
- 24Andriano LebibD
- 13Henry HoreM
- 16Lucas SciclunaM
- 27William FreneyM
- 7Stefan ColakovskiM
- 10Tom LawrenceF
- 25Sebastian DespotovskiF
- 9Jaiden KucharskiF
- 3Sam SuttonD
- 17Pieter JacobszF
- 39Giovanni De AbreuM
- 28Calem NieuwenhofM
- 29Daniel SolskyG
- 11Sebastian KukuckaF
A-League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 5 | Perth Glory | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Macarthur FC vs Perth Glory
- 12 April 2026Perth Glory 3–1 Macarthur FCA-League
- 6 February 2026Macarthur FC 2–2 Perth GloryA-League
- 30 November 2025Macarthur FC 0–2 Perth GloryA-League
- 27 December 2024Perth Glory 0–3 Macarthur FCA-League
- 20 October 2024Macarthur FC 6–1 Perth GloryA-League
- 28 January 2024Macarthur FC 2–2 Perth GloryA-League
Leading scorers: Macarthur FC and Perth Glory
Macarthur FC
GoalsAssists
- M. Toure11
Perth Glory
GoalsAssists
- J. Kucharski31
- M. Ellis20
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Macarthur FC beat Perth Glory 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Macarthur FC at 39%. The goals: T. Lawrence 59' for Perth Glory, R. Fraser (penalty) 86' for Macarthur FC, J. Aspropotamitis 89' for Macarthur FC.
How the call on Macarthur FC v Perth Glory has moved
First published on 3 Oct at 37% / 27% / 36% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 39% / 25% / 36%: the biggest move is Macarthur FC's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Macarthur FC win39%▲ +2
- Draw25%▼ −2
- Perth Glory win36%=
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.