29 August 2026, 15:00 UTC

Levante vs Real Betis La Liga prediction & result

Valencia
Full time5 – 2

Final score: Levante 5-2 Real Betis.

Before kick-off the model made it 48% Levante, 25% draw, 27% Real Betis — fair odds of 2.08, 4.00 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Levante at 48% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Levante99%Draw1%Real Betis0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 7 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Delaassist: J. A. Olasagasti
24'
34'
⚽M. Bartra
⚽E. Bardeli
45'
45'
⚽R. Riquelmeassist: M. Roca
🔁N. Perezout: J. Toljan
46'
⚽R. Brugueassist: E. Bardeli
56'
57'
🔁Iscoout: P. Fornals
57'
🔁T. Parrottout: C. Hernandez
🔁E. Bardeliout: H. Sotelo
65'
67'
🔁R. Riquelmeout: N. Deossa
67'
🔁M. Rocaout: P. Garcia
69'
Pablo García
⚽R. Brugue
70'
🔁T. Fernandezout: V. Garcia
72'
🔁I. Romeroout: K. Etta Eyong
72'
74'
🔁F. Bernalout: A. Ezzalzouli
🔁R. Brugueout: P. Cortes
84'
Jeremy Toljan
86'
⚽J. A. Olasagastiassist: K. Etta Eyong
90'

Match stats — Levante vs Real Betis

40%Possession60%
19Shots20
10On target6
5Corners8
2.99xG1.97

Goals against chances

Levante5 from 2.99 xGmore than the chances were worth
Real Betis2 from 1.97 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Levante 4-1-4-1
  • 13M. RyanG
  • 29N. PerezD
  • 4DelaD
  • 2A. MandiD
  • 23M. SanchezD
  • 20O. ReyM
  • 7R. BrugueM
  • 18E. BardeliM
  • 8J. A. OlasagastiM
  • 24T. FernandezM
  • 9I. RomeroF
Substitutes
  • 1P. CunatG
  • 3I. NdukweD
  • 22J. ToljanD
  • 14J. CabelloD
  • 10C. AlvarezM
  • 27P. CortesF
  • 5H. SoteloM
  • 6D. RequenaM
  • 17V. GarciaD
Coach: Luis Castro
Real Betis 4-2-3-1
  • 1A. VallesG
  • 2H. BellerinD
  • 5M. BartraD
  • 4NatanD
  • 11F. GarciaD
  • 6F. BernalM
  • 21M. RocaM
  • 7AntonyM
  • 22IscoM
  • 17R. RiquelmeM
  • 19T. ParrottF
Substitutes
  • 40A. de PabloG
  • 31M. GonzalezG
  • 3D. LlorenteD
  • 16V. GomezD
  • 12A. OrtizD
  • 18N. DeossaM
  • 15A. FidalgoM
  • 8P. FornalsM
  • 9C. HernandezF
Coach: Manuel Pellegrini

Form going into Levante vs Real Betis

Levante

  • D0-0away to Osasuna24 August 2026
  • L0-3away to Espanyol16 August 2026

Real Betis

  • W1-0away to Valencia25 August 2026
  • W1-0Real Sociedad21 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

La Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Levante512279-25
5Real Betis540176+112

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Levante vs Real Betis

  • 29 August 2026Levante 5–2 Real BetisLa Liga
  • 23 May 2026Real Betis 2–1 LevanteLa Liga
  • 14 September 2025Levante 2–2 Real BetisLa Liga
  • 13 February 2022Levante 2–4 Real BetisLa Liga
  • 28 November 2021Real Betis 3–1 LevanteLa Liga
  • 19 March 2021Real Betis 2–0 LevanteLa Liga

Leading scorers: Levante and Real Betis

Levante

  • Brugui3 goals

Real Betis

  • Rodrigo Riquelme2 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.