Real Sociedad vs Espanyol La Liga prediction & result
Final score: Real Sociedad 2-1 Espanyol.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% Real Sociedad, 26% draw, 31% Espanyol — fair odds of 2.33, 3.85 and 3.23.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Real Sociedad at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Real Sociedad vs Espanyol
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1A. RemiroG
- 2J. AramburuD
- 5I. ZubeldiaD
- 31J. MartinD
- 17S. GomezD
- 24L. SucicM
- 8B. TurrientesM
- 18C. SolerM
- 7A. BarrenetxeaM
- 9O. OskarssonF
- 10M. OyarzabalF
- 13U. MarreroG
- 19M. SarrD
- 34L. BeitiaD
- 3A. MunozD
- 23A. ZakharyanM
- 4J. GorrotxategiM
- 21Y. HerreraM
- 11G. GuedesF
- 12J. OchiengF
- 13M. DmitrovicG
- 23O. El HilaliD
- 16V. DrkusicD
- 14U. NunezD
- 21R. HinojoD
- 4U. GonzalezM
- 8ExpositoM
- 22A. CalatravaM
- 28J. HernandezM
- 24T. DolanM
- 9R. Fernandez JaenF
- 1A. FortunoG
- 31L. SerredG
- 3Q. HartmanD
- 5C. RiedelD
- 32J. A. LopezD
- 10P. LozanoM
- 20Gabriel MoscardoM
- 26R. BauzaM
- 11P. MillaM
Form going into Real Sociedad vs Espanyol
Real Sociedad
All competitions we cover
- L1-4away to Real Madrid26 August 2026
- L0-1away to Real Betis21 August 2026
Espanyol
All competitions we cover
- L1-2Real Madrid22 August 2026
- W3-0Levante16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 20 | +1 | 22 |
| 13 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Real Sociedad vs Espanyol
- 23 May 2026Espanyol 1–1 Real SociedadLa Liga
- 24 August 2025Real Sociedad 2–2 EspanyolLa Liga
- 9 February 2025Real Sociedad 2–1 EspanyolLa Liga
- 24 August 2024Espanyol 0–1 Real SociedadLa Liga
- 13 February 2023Espanyol 2–3 Real SociedadLa Liga
Leading scorers: Real Sociedad and Espanyol
Real Sociedad
GoalsAssists
- L. Sučić40
- O. Óskarsson40
Espanyol
GoalsAssists
- Roberto Fernández60
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Real Sociedad beat Espanyol 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Real Sociedad at 43%. The goals: A. Barrenetxea 4' for Real Sociedad, R. Fernandez Jaen 45' for Espanyol, O. Oskarsson 61' for Real Sociedad. On expected goals it finished 1.66–0.76.