Londrina vs Cuiaba Serie B prediction & result
Final score: Londrina 1-0 Cuiaba.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Londrina, 28% draw, 34% Cuiaba — fair odds of 2.63, 3.57 and 2.94.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
All Brazilian Serie B predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Londrina at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Londrina vs Cuiaba
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1LuanG
- 75Kauê LeonardoD
- 44Caio RodriguesD
- 4WallaceD
- 34HeronD
- 5TárikM
- 7Victor HugoM
- 38Geovane MeurerM
- 77Guilherme DantasM
- 28HerbertM
- 23William PottkerF
- 18Guilherme CachoeiraF
- 2Nino ParaíbaD
- 17João ConiF
- 30Mauricio KozlinskiG
- 9GilbertoF
- 13André Dhominique Queiroz Santiago da SilvaD
- 33KevynD
- 15Gabriel LacerdaD
- 21Cainã Santos Da SilvaM
- 1João CarlosG
- 13João BassoD
- 5CalebeD
- 4Vitor MendesD
- 2Igor InocêncioM
- 30RaulM
- 20David MiguelM
- 36LorenzoM
- 41KauanM
- 77Jean DiasM
- 96Pedro HenriqueF
- 53WeversonM
- 11ElielF
- 29Vinicius PeixotoF
- 91LuisãoD
- 70Wesley DiasM
- 12BusattoG
- 97Luiz OtávioM
- 14EricD
Form going into Londrina vs Cuiaba
Londrina
All competitions we cover
- D2-2away to Athletic Club13 October 2026
- L1-2away to Avai7 October 2026
- L0-2Criciuma2 October 2026
Cuiaba
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Avai11 October 2026
- D0-0away to Vila Nova7 October 2026
- W2-0Ponte Preta3 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Brazil Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Londrina | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 47 | 59 | -12 | 35 |
| 14 | Cuiaba | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 34 | 33 | +1 | 47 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Londrina vs Cuiaba
- 25 June 2026Cuiaba 2–2 LondrinaSerie B
- 5 October 2019Cuiaba 0–1 LondrinaSerie B
- 7 June 2019Londrina 1–0 CuiabaSerie B
Leading scorers: Londrina and Cuiaba
Londrina
GoalsAssists
- Bruno Santos113
Cuiaba
No player in Serie B's leading scorers — 34 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Londrina beat Cuiaba 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Londrina at 38%. The goal: William Pottker 35' for Londrina. On expected goals it finished 1.75–1.53.
How the call on Londrina v Cuiaba has moved
First published on 6 Oct at 36% / 29% / 35% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 38% / 28% / 34%: the biggest move is Londrina's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Londrina win38%▲ +2
- Draw28%▼ −1
- Cuiaba win34%▼ −1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.