Lyngby vs Odense Superliga prediction & result
Final score: Lyngby 1-1 Odense.
Before kick-off the model made it 48% Lyngby, 26% draw, 26% Odense — fair odds of 2.08, 3.85 and 3.85.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Lyngby at 48%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Lyngby vs Odense
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 31Diego KochenG
- 2Oskar BuurD
- 30Mikkel FischerD
- 24Munashe GaranangaD
- 25Renzo TytensD
- 19Gustav FrauloM
- 14Lauge SandgravM
- 13Casper WintherM
- 5Oliver HøjerM
- 7Simon ColynF
- 10Ísak Snær ÞorvaldssonF
- 16Asbjorn BøndergaardF
- 4Cornelius AllenD
- 8Mathias HeboM
- 26Frederik GytkjærF
- 1Jonathan ÆgidiusG
- 6Daniel Freyr KristjanssonD
- 12David AronssonD
- 20Mathias KaarsboM
- 18Jens Jakob ThomasenM
- 16Viljar MyhraG
- 2Peter TherkildsenD
- 13Julius Berthel AskouD
- 29James GomezD
- 15Marcus McCoyD
- 8Rasmus FalkM
- 22Ismahila OuédraogoM
- 14Christian GammelgaardM
- 7Fiete ArpM
- 9Topi KeskinenM
- 18Alexander Ahl HolmstromF
- 5Ulrik JenssenD
- 3Adam SørensenD
- 17Noah GanausF
- 6Jacob BondeM
- 28Magnus AndersenD
- 1Martin HansenG
- 19Nikolaj Juul-SandbergM
- 40Noah LassenM
- 26Lasse LegolasF
Form going into Lyngby vs Odense
Lyngby
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to AC Horsens23 August 2026
- D1-1FC Midtjylland16 August 2026
- L0-2away to Randers FC9 August 2026
- D2-2Aarhus1 August 2026
- L2-3away to FC Copenhagen26 July 2026
Odense
All competitions we cover
- D2-2away to Aarhus23 August 2026
- L1-2AC Horsens16 August 2026
- L0-1away to Silkeborg10 August 2026
- W1-0Sonderjyske3 August 2026
- L0-1away to Viborg24 July 2026
What these results say
- Lyngby did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Lyngby conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Lyngby scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Odense failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Odense conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lyngby | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 11 |
| 6 | Odense | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Lyngby vs Odense
- 10 May 2024Odense 1–2 LyngbySuperliga
- 5 April 2024Lyngby 0–0 OdenseSuperliga
- 4 November 2023Lyngby 2–2 OdenseSuperliga
- 2 October 2023Odense 1–2 LyngbySuperliga
- 21 May 2023Lyngby 0–4 OdenseSuperliga
Leading scorers: Lyngby and Odense
Lyngby
GoalsAssists
- S. Colyn53
Odense
GoalsAssists
- N. Ganaus40
- J. Arp40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Lyngby and Odense drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Lyngby at 48% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Ísak Snær Þorvaldsson 53' for Lyngby, Jacob Bonde 90+5' for Odense. On expected goals it finished 1.97–1.88.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.