Lyngby vs Odense Superliga prediction & result
Final score: Lyngby 1-1 Odense.
Before kick-off the model made it 48% Lyngby, 26% draw, 26% Odense — fair odds of 2.08, 3.85 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Lyngby at 48% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Lyngby vs Odense
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 31Diego KochenG
- 2Oskar BuurD
- 30Mikkel FischerD
- 24Munashe GaranangaD
- 25Renzo TytensD
- 19Gustav FrauloM
- 14Lauge SandgravM
- 13Casper WintherM
- 5Oliver HøjerM
- 7Simon ColynF
- 10Ísak Snær ÞorvaldssonF
- 16Asbjorn BøndergaardF
- 4Cornelius AllenD
- 8Mathias HeboM
- 26Frederik GytkjærF
- 1Jonathan ÆgidiusG
- 6Daniel Freyr KristjanssonD
- 12David AronssonD
- 20Mathias KaarsboM
- 18Jens Jakob ThomasenM
- 16Viljar MyhraG
- 2Peter TherkildsenD
- 13Julius Berthel AskouD
- 29James GomezD
- 15Marcus McCoyD
- 8Rasmus FalkM
- 22Ismahila OuédraogoM
- 14Christian GammelgaardM
- 7Fiete ArpM
- 9Topi KeskinenM
- 18Alexander Ahl HolmstromF
- 5Ulrik JenssenD
- 3Adam SørensenD
- 17Noah GanausF
- 6Jacob BondeM
- 28Magnus AndersenD
- 1Martin HansenG
- 19Nikolaj Juul-SandbergM
- 40Noah LassenM
- 26Lasse LegolasF
Form going into Lyngby vs Odense
Lyngby
- L1-2away to AC Horsens23 August 2026
- D1-1FC Midtjylland16 August 2026
Odense
- D2-2away to Aarhus23 August 2026
- L1-2AC Horsens16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lyngby | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
| 8 | Odense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Lyngby vs Odense
- 30 August 2026Lyngby 1–1 OdenseSuperliga
- 10 May 2024Odense 1–2 LyngbySuperliga
- 5 April 2024Lyngby 0–0 OdenseSuperliga
- 4 November 2023Lyngby 2–2 OdenseSuperliga
- 2 October 2023Odense 1–2 LyngbySuperliga
- 21 May 2023Lyngby 0–4 OdenseSuperliga
Leading scorers: Lyngby and Odense
Lyngby
- Í. Þorvaldsson3 goals2 assists
- S. Colyn3 goals1 assists
Odense
No player in Superliga's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.