30 August 2026, 12:00 UTC

Silkeborg vs FC Midtjylland Superliga prediction & result

Jysk Park, Silkeborg
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Silkeborg 1-1 FC Midtjylland.

Before kick-off the model made it 36% Silkeborg, 30% draw, 34% FC Midtjylland — fair odds of 2.78, 3.33 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Silkeborg at 36% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Silkeborg5%Draw93%FC Midtjylland2%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽W. Kirk
13'
46'
🔁M. B. Sorensenout: D. Beni
46'
🔁D. Castilloout: F. Etim
46'
🔁S. Johannesenout: J. Emefile
57'
Julius Emefile
🔁M. Hansenout: M. de Gevigney
62'
🔁W. Lokkeout: O. Ross
62'
62'
🔁Franculinoout: K. Watjen
66'
⚽S. Iheanachoassist: F. Etim
🔁V. Westhout: J. Lorets
77'
🔁L. Riisgaardout: K. Bogild
77'
77'
🔁S. Iheanachoout: Cho Gue-Sung
•Kristian Bøgild
83'
🔁W. Kirkout: S. Berger
86'

Match stats — Silkeborg vs FC Midtjylland

43%Possession57%
12Shots15
5On target4
4Corners7
1.37xG2.56

Goals against chances

Silkeborg1 from 1.37 xGabout what the chances were worth
FC Midtjylland1 from 2.56 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Silkeborg 3-4-2-1
  • 1A. AndresenG
  • 24A. PriesborgD
  • 3R. OstromD
  • 29W. Lokke
  • 7V. WesthM
  • 20M. LarsenM
  • 27W. KirkM
  • 19J. GammelbyM
  • 21L. RiisgaardF
  • 22R. Al HajjF
  • 23M. HansenF
Substitutes
  • 16B. Holm
  • 2A. PoulsenD
  • 4P. GanchasD
  • 6M. de GevigneyD
  • 36J. LoretsM
  • 10Y. BakizM
  • 14S. BergerM
  • 11O. RossF
  • 42K. BogildF
Coach: Morten Dahm Kjaergaard
FC Midtjylland 3-4-1-2
  • 1E. OlafssonG
  • 5R. KristensenD
  • 3M. JensenD
  • 22M. B. SorensenD
  • 11D. OsorioM
  • 8P. BillingM
  • 19P. BravoM
  • 27S. JohannesenM
  • 21D. CastilloF
  • 7FranculinoF
  • 18S. IheanachoF
Substitutes
  • 25N. BakkerG
  • 15D. Beni
  • 34A. Ndiaye
  • 29K. WatjenM
  • 14E. ChilufyaF
  • 10Cho Gue-SungF
  • 17M. UhreF
  • 90F. EtimF
  • 38J. EmefileM
Coach: Mike Tullberg

Form going into Silkeborg vs FC Midtjylland

Silkeborg

  • L1-3away to Brondby24 August 2026
  • L0-1away to FC Nordsjaelland16 August 2026

FC Midtjylland

  • W1-0Randers FC23 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Superliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Silkeborg8143812-47
2FC Midtjylland8530168+818

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Silkeborg vs FC Midtjylland

  • 30 August 2026Silkeborg 1–1 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
  • 4 July 2026FC Midtjylland 4–2 SilkeborgFriendlies Clubs
  • 22 February 2026Silkeborg 0–4 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
  • 30 October 2025FC Midtjylland 4–0 SilkeborgDBU Pokalen
  • 24 August 2025FC Midtjylland 4–2 SilkeborgSuperliga
  • 27 June 2025FC Midtjylland 2–0 SilkeborgFriendlies Clubs

Leading scorers: Silkeborg and FC Midtjylland

Silkeborg

  • C. McCowatt2 goals2 assists
  • O. Ross2 goals1 assists

FC Midtjylland

  • F. Etim3 goals2 assists
  • S. Iheanacho3 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.