5 September 2026, 18:45 UTC

Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29 Ligue 1 prediction & result

Le Havre
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Le Havre 1-2 Stade Brestois 29.

Before kick-off the model made it 34% Le Havre, 30% draw, 36% Stade Brestois 29 — fair odds of 2.94, 3.33 and 2.78.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Stade Brestois 29 at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Le Havre0%Draw3%Stade Brestois 2997%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Lionel Mpasi-Nzau
10'
12'
⚽Kamory Doumbia (pen)
22'
🔁Kenny Lalaout: Luck Zogbe
Didier Digard
38'
39'
Kamory Doumbia
Junior Mwanga
45+2'
🔁Rassoul Ndiayeout: Sota Nakamura
45'
51'
⚽Kamory Doumbiaassist: Mama Baldé
🔁Josh Majaout: Rayan Fofana
62'
🔁Timothée Pembeleout: Enzo Koffi
62'
67'
🔁Mama Baldéout: Noah Edjouma
75'
🔁Kamory Doumbiaout: Lucas Tousart
75'
🔁Pathé Mboupout: Giovani Versini
75'
🔁Hugo Magnettiout: Joseph Nonge
⚽Rayan Fofana (pen)
79'
🔁Elias Jelertout: Djibril Ouziad
79'
🔁Lionel Mpasi-Nzauout: Gauthier Gallon
90+4'

Match stats — Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29

56%Possession44%
18Shots19
4On target9
5Corners5

Line-ups

Le Havre 3-4-2-1
  • 77L. MpasiG
  • 15A. SekoD
  • 6J. MwangaD
  • 5A. ToubaD
  • 12E. JelertM
  • 26S. EbonogM
  • 7A. RichardsonM
  • 32T. PembéléM
  • 14R. NdiayeM
  • 25M. SamattaM
  • 9J. MajaF
Substitutes
  • 44I. BounebM
  • 38R. FofanaF
  • 93G. GallonG
  • 27E. Koffi VinetteF
  • 17K. MizutaM
  • 78D. MosengoM
  • 30S. NakamuraF
  • 20Djibril OuziadD
  • 23V. SassoD
Coach: D. Digard
Stade Brestois 29 4-2-3-1
  • 1E. SelvikG
  • 70K. LalaD
  • 71R. Le GuenD
  • 4G. LlorisD
  • 2B. LockoD
  • 13J. ChotardM
  • 8H. MagnettiM
  • 17Mama BaldéM
  • 23K. DoumbiaM
  • 9P. MboupM
  • 19L. AjorqueF
Substitutes
  • 29L. TousartM
  • 10G. VersiniF
  • 30M. PatouilletG
  • 7J. Nonge BoendeM
  • 39D. N´GuessanF
  • 32L. C. Laine M.M
  • 11N. EdjoumaF
  • 18J. BourgaultD
  • 20L. ZogbeD
Coach: Julien Lachuer

Form going into Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29

Le Havre

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1away to Lyon29 August 2026
  • L0-1Monaco23 August 2026

Stade Brestois 29

All competitions we cover

  • D2-2Toulouse29 August 2026
  • D2-2away to Le Mans22 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
18Le Havre10028922-132
9Stade Brestois 29104331812+615

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29

  • 8 March 2026Stade Brestois 29 2–0 Le HavreLigue 1
  • 29 October 2025Le Havre 1–0 Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1
  • 26 January 2025Le Havre 0–1 Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1
  • 6 October 2024Stade Brestois 29 2–0 Le HavreLigue 1
  • 3 March 2024Stade Brestois 29 1–0 Le HavreLigue 1

The full Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29 record →

Leading scorers: Le Havre and Stade Brestois 29

Le Havre

GoalsAssists

  • J. Maja40

Stade Brestois 29

GoalsAssists

  • L. Ajorque51
  • K. Doumbia42

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Stade Brestois 29 won 2–1 at Le Havre. The model had made a win for Stade Brestois 29 its most likely outcome, at 36%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Kamory Doumbia (penalty) 12' for Stade Brestois 29, Kamory Doumbia 51' for Stade Brestois 29, Rayan Fofana (penalty) 79' for Le Havre. Sent off: Junior Mwanga (Le Havre) 45+2'.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.