5 September 2026, 15:15 UTC

Lens vs Lorient Ligue 1 prediction & result

Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Lens 0-1 Lorient.

Before kick-off the model made it 47% Lens, 27% draw, 26% Lorient — fair odds of 2.13, 3.70 and 3.85.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Lens at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Lens0%Draw6%Lorient94%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

14'
Nathaniel Adjei
🔁Matthieu Udolout: Souleymane Sagnan
24'
Yassine Titraoui
26'
54'
⚽Mamadou Koneassist: Panos Katseris
🔁Yassine Titraouiout: Andrija Bulatović
60'
🔁Amadou Haidaraout: Michaël Cuisance
61'
67'
🔁Panos Katserisout: Théo Le Bris
67'
🔁Mamadou Koneout: Ibrahima Balde
67'
🔁Noah Mbambaout: Arthur Avom
🔁Ruben Aguilarout: Florian Sotoca
70'
🔁Thorgan Hazardout: Odsonne Édouard
70'
75'
🔁Gabin Bernardeauout: Isak Jensen
Michał Skóraś
77'
Souleymane Sagnan
85'

Match stats — Lens vs Lorient

57%Possession43%
17Shots8
6On target3
8Corners0

Line-ups

Lens 3-4-2-1
  • 40R. RisserG
  • 32K. AntonioD
  • 25I. GaniouD
  • 14M. UdolD
  • 2R. AguilarM
  • 21A. HaidaraM
  • 8Y. TitraouiM
  • 22M. SkóraśM
  • 10F. ThauvinM
  • 9T. HazardM
  • 19A. SimaF
Substitutes
  • 5A. BulatovićM
  • 38Mezian MesloubM
  • 31S. SagnanD
  • 7F. SotocaF
  • 11O. ÉdouardF
  • 29F. IvanovićF
  • 24J. GraditD
  • 16M. GorgelinG
  • 27M. CuisanceM
Coach: D. Toppmöller
Lorient 3-4-2-1
  • 38Y. MvogoG
  • 20D. SyllaD
  • 3M. TalbiD
  • 32N. AdjeiD
  • 77P. KatserisM
  • 72N. MbambaM
  • 8N. CadiouM
  • 43K. KouassiM
  • 33G. BernardeauM
  • 17J. MakengoM
  • 42Mamadou KoneF
Substitutes
  • 11T. Le BrisM
  • 21B. KamaraG
  • 2A. GeorgenD
  • 19S. FayeF
  • 18I. BaldéF
  • 62A. AvomM
  • 15A. TosinF
  • 55N. ObaretinD
  • 10I. JensenF
Coach: A. Dujeux

Form going into Lens vs Lorient

Lens

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2away to Strasbourg29 August 2026
  • W5-2Auxerre22 August 2026

Lorient

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2Estac Troyes29 August 2026
  • D0-0away to Nice22 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11Lens104151715+213
10Lorient1043398+115

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Lens vs Lorient

  • 14 March 2026Lorient 2–1 LensLigue 1
  • 2 November 2025Lens 3–0 LorientLigue 1
  • 3 May 2024Lens 2–0 LorientLigue 1
  • 4 November 2023Lorient 0–0 LensLigue 1
  • 21 May 2023Lorient 1–3 LensLigue 1

The full Lens vs Lorient record →

Leading scorers: Lens and Lorient

Lens

GoalsAssists

  • F. Thauvin57

Lorient

No player in Ligue 1's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Lorient won 1–0 at Lens. The model had leaned towards a win for Lens at 47% and given a win for Lorient 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goal: Mamadou Kone 54' for Lorient.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.