26 October 2026, 17:00 UTC

Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Ligat Ha'al prediction & result

Sammy Ofer Stadium, Haifa
Full time2 – 5

Final score: Maccabi Haifa 2-5 Hapoel Beer Sheva.

Before kick-off the model made it 39% Maccabi Haifa, 25% draw, 36% Hapoel Beer Sheva — fair odds of 2.56, 4.00 and 2.78.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Maccabi Haifa at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Ethane Azoulay
5'
8'
Djibril diop
Pedro Brazão
45+4'
45+4'
zahi ahmed
50'
⚽Igor Zlatanovićassist: Pedro Miguel Santos Amador
Andrija Novakovich
51'
54'
⚽Djibril diop
Noam Sztejfman
55'
56'
⚽Igor Zlatanović (pen)
🔁Kenji Gorreout: Eli Dasa
58'
🔁Ethane Azoulayout: Yarin Levi
58'
⚽Bruninho (pen)
60'
67'
🔁Igor Zlatanovićout: Adrián Ugarriza
67'
🔁Amir Chaim·Ganahout: Matan Baltaksa
67'
🔁guy mizrahiout: Yoan Stoyanov
71'
🔁zahi ahmedout: Hamode Kanaan
🔁Andrija Novakovichout: Adam Grimberg
72'
🔁Ali Mohamedout: Navot Ratner
72'
Navot Ratner
75'
76'
Hamode Kanaan
⚽Adam Grimberg
77'
78'
🔁Pedro Miguel Santos Amadorout: João Victor
79'
⚽Forson Amankwahassist: Hamode Kanaan
🔁Bruninhoout: Iyad khalaili
82'
82'
⚽Adam Grimberg (OG)
⚽Adam Grimbergassist: Pedro Brazão
90+2'

Match stats — Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Beer Sheva

48%Possession52%
14Shots11
6On target6
9Corners7
2.68xG1.73

Goals against chances

Maccabi Haifa2 from 2.68 xGless than the chances were worth
Hapoel Beer Sheva5 from 1.73 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Maccabi Haifa 4-2-3-1
  • 55O. GlazerG
  • 25J. BatailleD
  • 35N. SztejfmanD
  • 21N. LonwijkD
  • 66TsunamiD
  • 19E. AzoulayM
  • 4A. MuhammadM
  • 30Pedro BrazãoM
  • 10BruninhoM
  • 11K. GorréM
  • 9A. NovakovićF
Substitutes
  • 8Y. LeviM
  • 7Y. MordechaiM
  • 1yaacov omer on nirG
  • 36N. RatnerD
  • 16K. SaiefD
  • 29Iyad KhalailiM
  • 26S. KaniM
  • 38Adam GrimbergF
  • 2E. DasaD
Coach: B. Bakhar
Hapoel Beer Sheva 4-3-3
  • 1O. MarcianoG
  • 2G. MizrahiD
  • 44D. DiopD
  • 4M. VítorD
  • 5Pedro AmadorD
  • 17A. ForsonM
  • 28N. YehoshuaM
  • 9Z. AhmedM
  • 20J. EastF
  • 66I. ZlatanovićF
  • 11A. GanahF
Substitutes
  • 8M. Kna'anF
  • 3M. BaltaxaD
  • 45M. Abu RumiF
  • 14Y. MaledeF
  • 12I. RotmanD
  • 34M. WolffG
  • 27Y. StoyanovM
  • 90A. UgarrizaF
  • 70João VictorF
Coach: R. Kojok

Form going into Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Beer Sheva

Maccabi Haifa

Ligat Ha'al

  • W2-1away to Maccabi Petah Tikva17 October 2026
  • W4-1away to Hapoel Jerusalem12 October 2026

Hapoel Beer Sheva

Ligat Ha'al

  • W2-1Hapoel Jerusalem18 October 2026
  • W2-0away to Ironi Tiberias10 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligat Ha'al table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Maccabi Haifa106042120+118
3Hapoel Beer Sheva107122213+922

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Beer Sheva

  • 23 May 2026Hapoel Beer Sheva 2–5 Maccabi HaifaLigat Ha'al
  • 6 May 2026Maccabi Haifa 0–1 Hapoel Beer ShevaLigat Ha'al
  • 10 January 2026Hapoel Beer Sheva 0–0 Maccabi HaifaLigat Ha'al
  • 29 September 2025Maccabi Haifa 0–1 Hapoel Beer ShevaLigat Ha'al
  • 12 May 2025Hapoel Beer Sheva 4–1 Maccabi HaifaLigat Ha'al
  • 7 April 2025Maccabi Haifa 0–3 Hapoel Beer ShevaLigat Ha'al

Leading scorers: Maccabi Haifa and Hapoel Beer Sheva

Maccabi Haifa

GoalsAssists

  • Bruninho45
  • A. Novaković41

Hapoel Beer Sheva

GoalsAssists

  • I. Zlatanović50

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Hapoel Beer Sheva won 5–2 at Maccabi Haifa. The model had leaned towards a win for Maccabi Haifa at 39% and given a win for Hapoel Beer Sheva 36%. The goals: Igor Zlatanović 50' for Hapoel Beer Sheva, Djibril diop 54' for Hapoel Beer Sheva, Igor Zlatanović (penalty) 56' for Hapoel Beer Sheva, Adam Grimberg 77' for Maccabi Haifa, Forson Amankwah 79' for Hapoel Beer Sheva, Adam Grimberg (own goal) 82' for Hapoel Beer Sheva, Adam Grimberg 90+2' for Maccabi Haifa. Sent off: Noam Sztejfman (Maccabi Haifa) 55'. On expected goals it finished 2.68–1.73.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Maccabi Haifa a 11.8% chance to finish top of the regular season: 15.2% after a win, 10.0% after a draw, 8.1% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 8.1%, 3.7 points lower than before the match.

For Hapoel Beer Sheva the question was the chance to finish top of the regular season, 6.8% going in: 10.3% after a win, 5.6% after a draw, 3.8% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 10.3%, 3.5 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Ligat Ha'al season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.