30 October 2026, 22:30 UTC

Club Guarani vs 2 de Mayo Division Profesional - Clausura prediction & result

Estadio Rogelio Livieres
Referee: Derlis Lopez
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Club Guarani 1-0 2 de Mayo.

Before kick-off the model made it 48% Club Guarani, 28% draw, 24% 2 de Mayo — fair odds of 2.08, 3.57 and 4.17.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Club Guarani at 48%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Club Guarani97%Draw3%2 de Mayo0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

28'
Luis Delgadillo
Armando Méndez
37'
45'
🔁Luis Delgadilloout: Alexis Fariña
🔁L. Martínezout: Matías Julian López Estigarribia
45'
⚽Victor·Cespedesassist: Cristian Leandro Allende
48'
57'
🔁Matías Moyaout: Pedro Delvalle
🔁T. Servínout: Miguel Jacquet
68'
69'
🔁Tobias Cerveraout: F. Cáceres
73'
Alexis Villalba
🔁Fernando Fernandezout: J. Llano
74'
75'
Alexis Fariña
80'
🔁Alan Gómezout: Jorge Sanguina
80'
🔁Rodrigo Antonio Gómez Villalbaout: Marcelo Gonzalez
86'
Marcelo Gonzalez
🔁Maximiliano Nahuel Añasco Dornellsout: R. Rodríguez
86'
🔁Jorge Recaldeout: Juan Manuel García
86'
90+3'
Camilo Saiz

Match stats — Club Guarani vs 2 de Mayo

53%Possession47%
14Shots10
4On target2
4Corners6
0.74xG0.58

Goals against chances

Club Guarani1 from 0.74 xGabout what the chances were worth
2 de Mayo0 from 0.58 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Club Guarani 4-4-2
  • 31M. MartínezG
  • 4A. MéndezD
  • 2I. SegoviaD
  • 15T. ServínD
  • 33L. AllendeD
  • 10M. AñascoM
  • 36L. MartínezM
  • 25G. GómezM
  • 17V. CéspedesM
  • 40F. FernándezF
  • 9J. RecaldeF
Substitutes
  • 38P. CoroneF
  • 12G. DionisiG
  • 11J. GarcíaF
  • 35Pedro GonzalezD
  • 23M. JacquetD
  • 29F. LlanoM
  • 8M. LópezM
  • 34M. MaldonadoM
  • 37J. PérezD
Coach: F. Arce
2 de Mayo 5-3-2
  • 1D. LerdaG
  • 19C. CastroD
  • 21P. SosaD
  • 3A. VillalbaD
  • 37L. DelgadilloD
  • 5C. SaizD
  • 10A. GómezM
  • 2Rodrigo Antonio Gómez VillalbaM
  • 16M. GómezM
  • 27M. MoyaF
  • 25A. CerveraF
Substitutes
  • 26A. AguayoM
  • 8Á. AguileraM
  • 38B. AyalaM
  • 11U. CoronelD
  • 7F. CáceresF
  • 17P. DelvalleF
  • 30A. FariñaM
  • 40Marcelo GonzálezF
  • 22T. PortilloF
Coach: Eduardo Ledesma

Form going into Club Guarani vs 2 de Mayo

Club Guarani

Division Profesional - Clausura

  • W2-0away to Rubio NU23 October 2026
  • L0-2Nacional Asuncion17 October 2026

2 de Mayo

Division Profesional - Clausura

  • D1-1Deportivo Recoleta24 October 2026
  • L0-3away to Olimpia17 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Division Profesional - Clausura table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Club Guarani198742117+431
62 de Mayo198651821-330

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Club Guarani vs 2 de Mayo

  • 25 August 20262 de Mayo 0–0 Club GuaraniDivision Profesional - Clausura
  • 26 April 20262 de Mayo 2–2 Club GuaraniDivision Profesional - Apertura
  • 25 March 2026Club Guarani 1–1 2 de MayoDivision Profesional - Apertura
  • 5 November 20252 de Mayo 1–0 Club GuaraniCopa Paraguay
  • 12 September 20252 de Mayo 1–0 Club GuaraniDivision Profesional - Clausura
  • 6 July 2025Club Guarani 3–1 2 de MayoDivision Profesional - Clausura

Leading scorers: Club Guarani and 2 de Mayo

Club Guarani

No player in Division Profesional - Clausura's leading scorers — 21 league goals as a side.

2 de Mayo

GoalsAssists

  • D. Acosta51

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Club Guarani beat 2 de Mayo 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Club Guarani at 48%. The goal: Victor·Cespedes 48' for Club Guarani. On expected goals it finished 0.74–0.58.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Club Guarani a 11.1% chance to finish in the top four: 16.7% after a win, 5.8% after a draw, 1.8% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 16.7%, 5.6 points higher than before the match.

For 2 de Mayo the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 35.7% going in: 57.9% after a win, 36.4% after a draw, 25.3% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 25.3%, 10.4 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Division Profesional - Clausura season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Club Guarani v 2 de Mayo has moved

First published on 20 Oct at 46% / 29% / 25% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 48% / 28% / 24%: the biggest move is Club Guarani's chance of winning, up 2 points.

  1. Club Guarani win48%▲ +2
  2. Draw28%▼ −1
  3. 2 de Mayo win24%▼ −1

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.