24 October 2026, 16:30 UTC

Manta FC vs Deportivo Cuenca Liga Pro prediction & result

Estadio Jocay, Manta
Referee: J. C. Andrade Arreaga
Full time0 – 2

Final score: Manta FC 0-2 Deportivo Cuenca.

Before kick-off the model made it 37% Manta FC, 30% draw, 33% Deportivo Cuenca — fair odds of 2.70, 3.33 and 3.03.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Manta FC at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

33'
⚽Lucas Mancinelliassist: Melvin Diaz
Glendys Calos Mina
42'
45'
Lucas Mancinelli
45+1'
Andrés Roberto Yllana
45+3'
Patricio Boolsen
Jose Enrique Angulo Caicedo
45+3'
🔁José Monagaout: Josué Martin Chala Alomia
45'
51'
🔁Jeremy Mejíaout: Marcos Andres Lopez
60'
🔁Lucas Mancinelliout: Jorge Ordonez
60'
🔁Yeltzin Eriqueout: Edison Vega
🔁J. Vergésout: Jefferson Troya
64'
🔁Jostin Almanout: Ángel Ledesma
64'
66'
⚽Jefferson Troya (OG)
🔁Alexander Medinaout: M. Valencia
70'
🔁B. Ramírezout: Juan Nazareno
76'
80'
🔁Melvin Diazout: David Gonzalez
80'
🔁Cristhian Benalcazarout: Germán Rivero
82'
Andrés Roberto Yllana
Glendys Calos Mina
89'

Match stats — Manta FC vs Deportivo Cuenca

58%Possession42%
20Shots10
5On target5
7Corners4
1.77xG0.72

Goals against chances

Manta FC0 from 1.77 xGless than the chances were worth
Deportivo Cuenca2 from 0.72 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Manta FC 4-4-2
  • 12F. ZambranoG
  • 23A. MedinaD
  • 24O. MoscarelliD
  • 31G. MinaD
  • 25J. MonagaD
  • 10R. BurbanoM
  • 6J. JiménezM
  • 5B. RamírezM
  • 55J. VergésM
  • 17José Enrique Angulo CaicedoF
  • 19J. AlmanF
Substitutes
  • 9J. BlancoF
  • 11F. AsagidigbiF
  • 20Josué ChalaM
  • 7Walter Leodán Chalá VásquezF
  • 1W. ChávezG
  • 29M. HurtadoM
  • 28Á. LedesmaM
  • 14J. MinaM
  • 70J. NazarenoM
Coach: Eduardo Carvajal Burgos Javier
Deportivo Cuenca 4-1-4-1
  • 1F. FerreroG
  • 3G. NardelliD
  • 28P. BoolsenD
  • 6S. PostelD
  • 37C. ArboledaD
  • 30M. MaccariM
  • 7Lucas Eduardo MancinelliM
  • 16J. MejiaM
  • 53Yeltzin Hernán Erique VilliguaM
  • 19Melvin Fabricio Díaz CanenciaM
  • 88C. BenalcazarF
Substitutes
  • 20B. GarcíaM
  • 49David GonzálezM
  • 23E. GuevaraD
  • 29M. KlimowiczF
  • 25Marcos Andrés López CabreraD
  • 12Ethan Gabriel Minda HumananteG
  • 2Ignacio Ariel Mosquera ArroyoD
  • 43J. OrdoñezF
  • 18I. PiedraD
Coach: A. Yllana

Form going into Manta FC vs Deportivo Cuenca

Manta FC

Liga Pro

  • L2-4away to Delfin SC18 October 2026
  • W1-0Tecnico Universitario10 October 2026

Deportivo Cuenca

Liga Pro

  • W2-1Tecnico Universitario16 October 2026
  • D0-0away to Orense SC11 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
16Manta FC3696212752-2533
11Deportivo Cuenca36138153342-947

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Manta FC vs Deportivo Cuenca

  • 11 August 2026Deportivo Cuenca 1–2 Manta FCLiga Pro
  • 19 April 2026Manta FC 0–1 Deportivo CuencaLiga Pro
  • 23 August 2025Manta FC 0–1 Deportivo CuencaLiga Pro
  • 3 May 2025Deportivo Cuenca 2–0 Manta FCLiga Pro
  • 22 July 2024Manta FC 1–3 Deportivo CuencaCopa Ecuador
  • 7 August 2021Deportivo Cuenca 1–0 Manta FCLiga Pro

Leading scorers: Manta FC and Deportivo Cuenca

Manta FC

GoalsAssists

  • José Enrique Angulo Caicedo70

Deportivo Cuenca

No player in Liga Pro's leading scorers — 33 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Deportivo Cuenca won 2–0 at Manta FC. The model had leaned towards a win for Manta FC at 37% and given a win for Deportivo Cuenca 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Lucas Mancinelli 33' for Deportivo Cuenca, Jefferson Troya (own goal) 66' for Deportivo Cuenca. Sent off: Andrés Roberto Yllana (Deportivo Cuenca) 82', Glendys Calos Mina (Manta FC) 89'. On expected goals it finished 1.77–0.72.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Deportivo Cuenca a 35.2% chance to win the league: 46.5% after a win, 33.3% after a draw, 25.6% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 46.5%, 11.3 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Liga Pro season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.