8 November 2026, 16:00 UTC

Mardin 1969 vs Batman Petrolspor 1. Lig prediction & result

21 Kasım Stadium, Mardin
Referee: Muhammetali Metoglu
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Mardin 1969 1-1 Batman Petrolspor.

Before kick-off the model made it 50% Mardin 1969, 25% draw, 25% Batman Petrolspor — fair odds of 2.00, 4.00 and 4.00.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Mardin 1969 at 50%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Mardin 19695%Draw92%Batman Petrolspor3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

20'
Metehan Mert
Emre Taşdemir
37'
45'
Mickael Biron
⚽Mallik Wilksassist: Nafican Yardimci
49'
51'
⚽Mickael Bironassist: Bernardo Sousa
🔁Olarenwaju Kayodeout: O. Yıldırım
69'
🔁Emre Taşdemirout: Eray Korkmaz
78'
🔁Zdravko Dimitrovout: Ahmet Uluk
78'
78'
🔁Bernardo Sousaout: Sami Gokhan Altiparmak
O. Yıldırım
79'
🔁Adem Eren Kabakout: Đorđe Denić
86'
🔁Tonio Teklićout: Şahverdi Çetin
87'
90+4'
🔁Pedrinhoout: Gökhan Karadeniz
90+4'
🔁Polat Yaldirout: O. Imeri

Match stats — Mardin 1969 vs Batman Petrolspor

55%Possession45%
16Shots9
4On target4
7Corners1
1.15xG1.5

Goals against chances

Mardin 19691 from 1.15 xGabout what the chances were worth
Batman Petrolspor1 from 1.50 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Mardin 1969 4-1-4-1
  • 1E. KardeşlerG
  • 3N. YardımcıD
  • 25M. ŞengülD
  • 15U. GezerD
  • 33E. TaşdemirD
  • 16A. KabakM
  • 47M. WilksM
  • 91T. TeklićM
  • 42B. AlhassanM
  • 10Z. DimitrovM
  • 9O. KayodeF
Substitutes
  • 7Ş. ÇetinM
  • 11B. BalatM
  • 27K. AlıcıD
  • 8Đ. DenićM
  • 19A. ÜlükF
  • 64B. DoğanD
  • 29Ö. KahveciG
  • 17E. KorkmazD
  • 77D. TaşkanF
Coach: Ivaylo Petev
Batman Petrolspor 4-1-4-1
  • 13B. TetikG
  • 27Ö. ArtanD
  • 4M. MertD
  • 21DóriaD
  • 53M. AlbayrakD
  • 34M. CissokhoM
  • 77BennyM
  • 6Jo Jin-HoM
  • 10PedrinhoM
  • 72P. YaldırM
  • 7M. BironF
Substitutes
  • 25Ç. AkbabaG
  • 79G. AltıparmakF
  • 5E. AydoğanM
  • 46Devran BozardicD
  • 8O. GürbulakM
  • 11O. ImeriF
  • 17G. KaradenizM
  • 28M. SipahioğluD
  • 3Y. SubaşıD
Coach: Selçuk Şahin

Form going into Mardin 1969 vs Batman Petrolspor

Mardin 1969

1. Lig

  • W2-1away to İstanbulspor1 November 2026
  • W2-1Manisa F.K.26 October 2026
  • L2-4away to Esenler Erokspor19 October 2026
  • W1-0Fatih Karagümrük15 October 2026

Batman Petrolspor

1. Lig

  • L1-2away to Manisa F.K.31 October 2026
  • W3-2Esenler Erokspor25 October 2026
  • D2-2away to Kayserispor18 October 2026
  • W4-2İstanbulspor14 October 2026

What these results say

  • Mardin 1969 scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Mardin 1969 won 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Mardin 1969 conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Batman Petrolspor scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Batman Petrolspor conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Every one of these 4 matches for Batman Petrolspor had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

1. Lig table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4Mardin 1969147431913+625
5Batman Petrolspor147342724+324

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Mardin 1969 vs Batman Petrolspor

  • 27 September 2023Mardin 1969 4–1 Batman PetrolsporTürkiye Kupası
  • 11 September 2019Batman Petrolspor 1–3 Mardin 1969Türkiye Kupası

Leading scorers: Mardin 1969 and Batman Petrolspor

Mardin 1969

GoalsAssists

  • O. Kayode52

Batman Petrolspor

GoalsAssists

  • Pedrinho50
  • M. Biron42

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Mardin 1969 and Batman Petrolspor drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Mardin 1969 at 50% and given a draw 25%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Mallik Wilks 49' for Mardin 1969, Mickael Biron 51' for Batman Petrolspor. On expected goals it finished 1.15–1.50.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Mardin 1969 a 5.8% chance to finish in the top two: 7.1% after a win, 4.2% after a draw, 3.1% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 4.2%, 1.6 points lower than before the match.

Read from our 1. Lig season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.