7 November 2026, 10:30 UTC

Eyüpspor vs Kocaelispor Süper Lig prediction & result

Istanbul
Referee: Melek Dakan, Türkiye
Full time0 – 2

Final score: Eyüpspor 0-2 Kocaelispor.

Before kick-off the model made it 24% Eyüpspor, 31% draw, 45% Kocaelispor — fair odds of 4.17, 3.23 and 2.22.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Kocaelispor at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Eyüpspor0%Draw1%Kocaelispor99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

5'
⚽D. Agyei
6'
🔁Showout: T. Bingol
🔁L. Pintorout: C. Sadia
18'
28'
⚽B. Kutluassist: R. Rivas
🔁B. Boutobbaout: Y. Barasi
46'
🔁A. Sabiriout: D. Costa
46'
63'
T. Bingol
🔁O. Ceyhanout: B. K. Satli
63'
M. Dalci
67'
74'
🔁M. Bakuout: G. Sousa
74'
🔁F. Ayeout: M. Altunbas
81'
R. Rivas
Z. Jules
82'
83'
D. Agyei
83'
🔁R. Rivasout: M. Cinan
84'
🔁M. Susohoout: T. Gulliksen
🔁Massanga Matondoout: H. Akman
85'

Match stats — Eyüpspor vs Kocaelispor

50%Possession50%
6Shots12
3On target7
4Corners1
0.66xG1

Goals against chances

Eyüpspor0 from 0.66 xGless than the chances were worth
Kocaelispor2 from 1.00 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Eyüpspor 4-2-3-1
  • 31Horațiu MoldovanG
  • 44Ömer Ahmet CeyhanD
  • 5Jawad El YamiqD
  • 33Zak JulesD
  • 4Seyfettin Anıl YaşarD
  • 88Chandrel MassangaM
  • 10Abdelhamid SabiriM
  • 98Bilal BoutobbaM
  • 15Charles-Andre Raux YaoM
  • 11Lenny PintorM
  • 29Ahmed AbdullahiF
Substitutes
  • 84Christ SadiaM
  • 8David CostaM
  • 9Yusuf BarasıF
  • 42Berhan SatliD
  • 18Hamza AkmanM
  • 1Emre BilginG
  • 27Yiğit DemirD
  • 3Arda YavuzD
  • 28Taşkın IlterM
Kocaelispor 4-2-3-1
  • 83Serhat ÖztaşdelenG
  • 22Uğur Kaan YıldızD
  • 2Anfernee Jamal DijksteelD
  • 5Emir OrtakayaD
  • 99Rigoberto RivasD
  • 14ShowM
  • 20Mahamadou SusohoM
  • 7Dan AgyeiM
  • 10Berkan KutluM
  • 32Makana BakuM
  • 97Florian AyéF
Substitutes
  • 75Tayfur BingölD
  • 26Metehan AltunbaşF
  • 11Gonçalo SousaF
  • 3Muharrem CinanD
  • 8Tobias Fjeld GulliksenM
  • 23Onurcan PiriG
  • 41Onur ÖztongaD
  • 6Matej MaglicaD
  • 27Ege BilimM

Form going into Eyüpspor vs Kocaelispor

Eyüpspor

Süper Lig

  • L1-5away to Amed1 November 2026
  • L0-1Kasımpaşa24 October 2026
  • L0-2away to Erzurumspor FK17 October 2026
  • L0-4Göztepe12 October 2026

Kocaelispor

Süper Lig

  • D0-0Rizespor31 October 2026
  • W2-1away to Alanyaspor23 October 2026
  • L1-2Göztepe18 October 2026
  • L1-2away to Beşiktaş11 October 2026

What these results say

  • Eyüpspor did not win any of these 4 matches.
  • Eyüpspor conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Eyüpspor failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Kocaelispor failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Kocaelispor scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Kocaelispor conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Süper Lig table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
18Eyüpspor111010330-273
7Kocaelispor11614139+419

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Eyüpspor vs Kocaelispor

  • 9 March 2026Eyüpspor 0–1 KocaelisporSüper Lig
  • 4 October 2025Kocaelispor 1–0 EyüpsporSüper Lig
  • 20 January 2024Kocaelispor 2–1 Eyüpspor1. Lig
  • 21 August 2023Eyüpspor 2–0 Kocaelispor1. Lig
  • 14 May 2022Eyüpspor 2–1 Kocaelispor1. Lig
  • 19 December 2021Kocaelispor 1–1 Eyüpspor1. Lig

The full Eyüpspor vs Kocaelispor record →

Leading scorers: Eyüpspor and Kocaelispor

Eyüpspor

No player in Süper Lig's leading scorers — 3 league goals as a side.

Kocaelispor

GoalsAssists

  • B. Kutlu51

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Kocaelispor won 2–0 at Eyüpspor. The model had made a win for Kocaelispor its most likely outcome, at 45%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: D. Agyei 5' for Kocaelispor, B. Kutlu 28' for Kocaelispor. On expected goals it finished 0.66–1.00.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Eyüpspor a 96.7% chance to finish in the bottom three: 94.8% after a win, 96.8% after a draw, 97.8% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 97.8%, 1.1 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Süper Lig season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.