Metz vs Rodez Ligue 2 prediction & result
Final score: Metz 4-1 Rodez.
Before kick-off the model made it 52% Metz, 26% draw, 22% Rodez — fair odds of 1.92, 3.85 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Metz at 52% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Metz vs Rodez
Metz
- D1-1away to Annecy29 August 2026
- D1-1Laval22 August 2026
- D0-0away to Grenoble14 August 2026
Rodez
- D2-2PAU28 August 2026
- W5-2away to Nantes22 August 2026
- L0-2away to Annecy14 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Metz | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 9 |
| 11 | Rodez | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Metz vs Rodez
- 2 May 2025Metz 3–3 RodezLigue 2
- 23 August 2024Rodez 1–3 MetzLigue 2
- 31 January 2023Metz 1–1 RodezLigue 2
- 30 August 2022Rodez 1–4 MetzLigue 2
Leading scorers: Metz and Rodez
Metz
- P. Fall5 goals
Rodez
- I. Baldé5 goals
- C. Roubiou2 goals
- O. Joly2 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.