Reims vs Guingamp Ligue 2 prediction & result
Final score: Reims 2-2 Guingamp.
Before kick-off the model made it 48% Reims, 27% draw, 25% Guingamp — fair odds of 2.08, 3.70 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Reims at 48% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Reims vs Guingamp
Reims
- W4-1away to RED Star FC 9329 August 2026
- W3-1Annecy24 August 2026
- D3-3Dunkerque14 August 2026
Guingamp
- D3-3Nantes29 August 2026
- L0-1away to Sochaux21 August 2026
- W1-0Boulogne14 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Reims | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 12 |
| 9 | Guingamp | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Reims vs Guingamp
- 21 March 2026Guingamp 0–2 ReimsLigue 2
- 16 August 2025Reims 1–0 GuingampLigue 2
- 26 January 2019Guingamp 0–1 ReimsLigue 1
- 24 November 2018Reims 2–1 GuingampLigue 1
- 19 March 2016Reims 0–1 GuingampLigue 1
- 2 December 2015Guingamp 1–2 ReimsLigue 1
Leading scorers: Reims and Guingamp
Reims
- Y. Fofana5 goals
- Y. El Kachati2 goals1 assists
Guingamp
- D. Gomis2 goals1 assists
- S. Kielt2 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.