Reims vs Guingamp Ligue 2 prediction & result
Final score: Reims 2-2 Guingamp.
Before kick-off the model made it 48% Reims, 27% draw, 25% Guingamp — fair odds of 2.08, 3.70 and 4.00.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Reims at 48%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Reims vs Guingamp
Line-ups
- 1T. HulsmannG
- 21J. MambukuD
- 28ElieD
- 22S. KottoD
- 27D. GuindoD
- 6T. LeoniM
- 30J. PatrickM
- 87M. TiaM
- 8Y. FofanaM
- 9M. DaramyM
- 10Y. El KachatiF
- 12E. OmeragicG
- 63A. ZohouriD
- 44M. Okwaro
- 5J. OtomewoD
- 61C. KouranfalM
- 62A. KashiF
- 7T. DiarrassoubaF
- 99S. SoumanoF
- 48A. GadouF
- 16A. OrtolaG
- 2E. KoffiD
- 7D. GomisD
- 36A. DemouchyD
- 5T. OllilaD
- 4D. LouiserreM
- 11T. AverlantM
- 21T. AhileM
- 25T. DucrocqM
- 20S. Ben BrahimM
- 18S. KieltF
- 1T. Bartouche-SelbonneG
- 39V. Muntu Wa Mungu
- 24J. DiangangaD
- 3J. MatumonaD
- 23J. ChamakhF
- 8F. Sanchez Da SilvaM
- 31J. MatondoM
- 17A. SamouraF
- 22B. BokanguM
Form going into Reims vs Guingamp
Reims
All competitions we cover
- W4-1away to RED Star FC 9329 August 2026
- W3-1Annecy24 August 2026
- D3-3Dunkerque14 August 2026
- D0-0away to Clermont Foot8 August 2026
Guingamp
All competitions we cover
- D3-3Nantes29 August 2026
- L0-1away to Sochaux21 August 2026
- W1-0Boulogne14 August 2026
- L1-2away to Metz8 August 2026
What these results say
- Reims went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Reims scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Reims conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Guingamp failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Guingamp scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Guingamp conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 24 | 15 | +9 | 21 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Reims vs Guingamp
- 21 March 2026Guingamp 0–2 ReimsLigue 2
- 16 August 2025Reims 1–0 GuingampLigue 2
- 26 January 2019Guingamp 0–1 ReimsLigue 1
- 24 November 2018Reims 2–1 GuingampLigue 1
- 19 March 2016Reims 0–1 GuingampLigue 1
- 2 December 2015Guingamp 1–2 ReimsLigue 1
Leading scorers: Reims and Guingamp
Reims
GoalsAssists
- Y. Fofana112
Guingamp
GoalsAssists
- B. Bokangu40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Reims and Guingamp drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Reims at 48% and given a draw 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Stanislas Kielt 5' for Guingamp, Yaya Fofana 48' for Reims, Yaya Fofana 50' for Reims, Brandon Bokangu 88' for Guingamp.
How the call on Reims v Guingamp has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 51% / 26% / 23% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 48% / 27% / 25%: the biggest move is Reims's chance of winning, down 3 points.
- Reims win48%▼ −3
- Draw27%▲ +1
- Guingamp win25%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.