Saint Etienne vs Montpellier Ligue 2 prediction & result
Final score: Saint Etienne 3-1 Montpellier.
Before kick-off the model made it 46% Saint Etienne, 28% draw, 26% Montpellier — fair odds of 2.17, 3.57 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Saint Etienne at 46% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Saint Etienne vs Montpellier
Saint Etienne
- W3-2away to Dijon31 August 2026
- W4-0Grenoble22 August 2026
- W3-1Clermont Foot14 August 2026
Montpellier
- D0-0Boulogne28 August 2026
- W1-0away to Dunkerque21 August 2026
- W1-0away to Nancy14 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Etienne | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 | Montpellier | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Saint Etienne vs Montpellier
- 7 February 2026Saint Etienne 1–0 MontpellierLigue 2
- 4 October 2025Montpellier 0–2 Saint EtienneLigue 2
- 16 March 2025Montpellier 0–2 Saint EtienneLigue 1
- 23 November 2024Saint Etienne 1–0 MontpellierLigue 1
- 31 July 2024Montpellier 1–2 Saint EtienneFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Saint Etienne and Montpellier
Saint Etienne
- I. Cardona4 goals4 assists
- T. Ballo4 goals2 assists
- A. Boakye3 goals2 assists
Montpellier
No player in Ligue 2's leading scorers — 5 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.