Saint Etienne vs Montpellier Ligue 2 prediction & result
Final score: Saint Etienne 3-1 Montpellier.
Before kick-off the model made it 46% Saint Etienne, 28% draw, 26% Montpellier — fair odds of 2.17, 3.57 and 3.85.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Saint Etienne at 46%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Saint Etienne vs Montpellier
Line-ups
- 30G. LarsonneurG
- 23K. PedroD
- 26J. Le CardinalD
- 18S. NairD
- 6M. BernauerD
- 16T. SvetlinM
- 14A. CsongvaiM
- 20A. BoakyeM
- 22Z. DavitashviliM
- 8T. BalloM
- 7I. CardonaF
- 1M. NdiayeG
- 11B. OldF
- 15C. LambaD
- 13J. FerreiraD
- 10J. BreumM
- 5M. JaberM
- 32A. BaallalM
- 31N. El JamaliM
- 17J. DuffusF
- 31S. NgapandouetnbuG
- 3N. El HannachD
- 15J. LaporteD
- 6Y. MouangaD
- 17T. Sainte-LuceD
- 27D. MeddahM
- 18N. PaysM
- 32H. AbderrebiM
- 5F. TardieuM
- 19N. MukieleM
- 9L. Megnan-PaveF
- 1M. MichelG
- 12O. Eyen
- 90G. AyemM
- 40N. Vidal-CartouxM
- 77Everson JrM
- 44T. ChennahiM
- 39J. HatchiF
- 11M. CamaraF
- 23D. BenlahlouF
Form going into Saint Etienne vs Montpellier
Saint Etienne
All competitions we cover
- W3-2away to Dijon31 August 2026
- W4-0Grenoble22 August 2026
- W3-1Clermont Foot14 August 2026
- W3-0away to Sochaux8 August 2026
Montpellier
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Boulogne28 August 2026
- W1-0away to Dunkerque21 August 2026
- W1-0away to Nancy14 August 2026
- D1-1Dijon8 August 2026
What these results say
- Saint Etienne won every one of these 4 matches.
- Saint Etienne scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Saint Etienne had three goals or more.
- Montpellier went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Montpellier had two goals or fewer.
- Montpellier scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Etienne | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 11 | +14 | 28 |
| 3 | Montpellier | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | +9 | 24 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Saint Etienne vs Montpellier
- 7 February 2026Saint Etienne 1–0 MontpellierLigue 2
- 4 October 2025Montpellier 0–2 Saint EtienneLigue 2
- 16 March 2025Montpellier 0–2 Saint EtienneLigue 1
- 23 November 2024Saint Etienne 1–0 MontpellierLigue 1
- 31 July 2024Montpellier 1–2 Saint EtienneFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Saint Etienne and Montpellier
Saint Etienne
GoalsAssists
- I. Cardona65
- A. Boakye63
- T. Ballo52
Montpellier
GoalsAssists
- N. Pays52
- Lacine Megnan-Pave42
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Saint Etienne beat Montpellier 3–1. The model had made a win for Saint Etienne its most likely outcome, at 46%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Maxime Bernauer 41' for Saint Etienne, Daylam Meddah 45+5' for Montpellier, Augustine Boakye 49' for Saint Etienne, Joshua Duffus 71' for Saint Etienne.