San Diego vs Los Angeles Galaxy Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: San Diego 3-1 Los Angeles Galaxy.
Before kick-off the model made it 58% San Diego, 24% draw, 18% Los Angeles Galaxy — fair odds of 1.72, 4.17 and 5.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts San Diego at 58% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into San Diego vs Los Angeles Galaxy
San Diego
- W3-0Colorado Rapids23 August 2026
Los Angeles Galaxy
- D2-2away to CF Montreal22 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | San Diego | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 30 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 30 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: San Diego vs Los Angeles Galaxy
- 24 May 2025San Diego 2–1 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
- 24 February 2025Los Angeles Galaxy 0–2 San DiegoMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: San Diego and Los Angeles Galaxy
San Diego
- M. Ingvartsen11 goals3 assists
Los Angeles Galaxy
No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 31 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.