25 October 2026, 15:30 UTC

Mjallby AIF vs Hammarby FF Allsvenskan prediction & result

Strandvallen, Hallevik
Referee: Victor Wolf
Full time0 – 2

Final score: Mjallby AIF 0-2 Hammarby FF.

Before kick-off the model made it 21% Mjallby AIF, 25% draw, 54% Hammarby FF — fair odds of 4.76, 4.00 and 1.85.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Hammarby FF at 54%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Mjallby AIF0%Draw1%Hammarby FF99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

8'
Hampus Skoglund
62'
Paulos Abraham
🔁Mads Enggardout: Romeo Arrhenius Leandersson
66'
68'
⚽Montader Madjedassist: Victor Lind
69'
Montader Madjed
71'
🔁Frank Junior Adjeiout: Nahir Besara
🔁William Granathout: Martin Agnarsson
77'
🔁Max Nielsenout: Ian Hoffmann
77'
🔁Jesper Gustavssonout: Olle Lindberg
77'
82'
Tesfaldet Tekie
83'
🔁Hampus Skoglundout: Victor Eriksson
83'
🔁Montader Madjedout: Oscar Steinke Brånby
83'
🔁Paulos Abrahamout: Oscar Johansson
Ian Hoffmann
88'
88'
🔁Victor Lindout: Waylon Renecke
89'
⚽Oscar Johanssonassist: Nahir Besara

Match stats — Mjallby AIF vs Hammarby FF

34%Possession66%
5Shots19
2On target3
5Corners8
0.4xG1.33

Goals against chances

Mjallby AIF0 from 0.40 xGabout what the chances were worth
Hammarby FF2 from 1.33 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Mjallby AIF 3-4-3
  • 35A. LundinG
  • 33T. MiettinenD
  • 5Abdullah IqbalD
  • 24T. PetterssonD
  • 25M. NielsenM
  • 22J. GustavssonM
  • 6M. EnggårdM
  • 14Villiam GranathM
  • 10J. KjærF
  • 18J. BergströmF
  • 7V. GustafsonF
Substitutes
  • 3M. AgnarssonD
  • 1S. HansenG
  • 26I. HoffmannD
  • 29Olle LindbergM
  • 4A. NorénD
  • 23Á. SamuelsenF
  • 2L. SvanbergD
  • 39R. LeanderssonM
  • 31Edon Oremalm MurseliF
Coach: A. Brännström
Hammarby FF 4-3-3
  • 1W. HahnG
  • 2E. SkoglundD
  • 6I. FofanaD
  • 3F. WintherD
  • 16N. PerssonD
  • 5T. TekieM
  • 28F. AdjeiM
  • 8M. KarlssonM
  • 26M. MadjedF
  • 7P. AbrahamF
  • 9V. LindF
Substitutes
  • 21Sourou KoneM
  • 24W. ReneckeD
  • 30S. KebbehF
  • 11O. JohanssonM
  • 34Filip JakobssonM
  • 27F. JakobssonG
  • 4V. ErikssonD
  • 20N. BesaraM
  • 31O. Steinke BranbyD
Coach: H. Rydström

Form going into Mjallby AIF vs Hammarby FF

Mjallby AIF

Allsvenskan

  • L0-1away to Vasteras SK FK18 October 2026

Hammarby FF

Allsvenskan

  • W1-0away to Halmstad18 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Allsvenskan table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12Mjallby AIF28610123043-1328
1Hammarby FF2818466023+3758

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Mjallby AIF vs Hammarby FF

  • 14 May 2026Mjallby AIF 2–1 Hammarby FFSvenska Cupen
  • 4 April 2026Hammarby FF 3–0 Mjallby AIFAllsvenskan
  • 22 May 2025Hammarby FF 1–2 Mjallby AIFAllsvenskan
  • 18 April 2025Mjallby AIF 3–1 Hammarby FFAllsvenskan
  • 28 July 2024Hammarby FF 3–0 Mjallby AIFAllsvenskan
  • 15 May 2024Mjallby AIF 3–0 Hammarby FFAllsvenskan

Leading scorers: Mjallby AIF and Hammarby FF

Mjallby AIF

GoalsAssists

  • J. Bergström100

Hammarby FF

GoalsAssists

  • P. Abraham174
  • V. Lind1013
  • M. Madjed82

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Hammarby FF won 2–0 at Mjallby AIF. The model had made a win for Hammarby FF its most likely outcome, at 54%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Montader Madjed 68' for Hammarby FF, Oscar Johansson 89' for Hammarby FF. On expected goals it finished 0.40–1.33.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Hammarby FF a 87.1% chance to finish in the top three: 92.5% after a win, 82.8% after a draw, 76.1% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 92.5%, 5.4 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Allsvenskan season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.