Norwich vs Birmingham Championship prediction & result
Final score: Norwich 2-1 Birmingham.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Norwich, 28% draw, 30% Birmingham — fair odds of 2.38, 3.57 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
All Championship predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Norwich at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Norwich vs Birmingham
Line-ups
- 1V. KovačevićG
- 3J. StaceyD
- 15Ruairi McConvilleD
- 33J. CórdobaD
- 14B. ChriseneD
- 23K. McLeanM
- 7P. MattssonM
- 11A. BrooksM
- 19P. DialloM
- 29O. SchwartauM
- 30M. KvistgaardenF
- 17A. CrnacF
- 6H. DarlingD
- 35K. FisherD
- 32D. GrimshawG
- 25P. MaghomaM
- 24J. MakamaF
- 49A. MusabaF
- 16Jacob WrightM
- 13D. YongwaD
- 1J. BeadleG
- 26B. Osayi-SamuelD
- 5P. NeumannD
- 4C. KlarerD
- 25K. LundD
- 24T. IwataM
- 8Paik Seung-HoM
- 7Carlos VicenteM
- 28J. StansfieldM
- 17L. MillarM
- 9A. PriskeF
- 23D. FryD
- 27K. FujimotoM
- 2E. LairdD
- 30Bradley MayoG
- 32L. VázquezF
- 33M. DuckschF
- 20A. CochraneD
- 3L. BuchananD
- 21R. AllsopG
Form going into Norwich vs Birmingham
Norwich
All competitions we cover
- W3-1away to Sheffield Utd5 September 2026
- L0-1away to Stoke City1 September 2026
- W4-1Burnley29 August 2026
- L0-3away to Millwall22 August 2026
- L1-2West Brom15 August 2026
Birmingham
All competitions we cover
- D2-2Wolves6 September 2026
- D1-1Southampton1 September 2026
- W2-1away to Wrexham28 August 2026
- D2-2Bristol City22 August 2026
- D0-0away to Sheffield Utd15 August 2026
What these results say
- Norwich conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Norwich had three goals or more.
- Birmingham went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Birmingham failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Birmingham scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Norwich | 15 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 24 | +8 | 21 |
| 1 | Birmingham | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 14 | +14 | 29 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Norwich vs Birmingham
- 21 February 2026Norwich 1–2 BirminghamChampionship
- 22 November 2025Birmingham 4–1 NorwichChampionship
- 4 May 2024Birmingham 1–0 NorwichChampionship
- 30 September 2023Norwich 2–0 BirminghamChampionship
- 21 February 2023Norwich 3–1 BirminghamChampionship
Leading scorers: Norwich and Birmingham
Norwich
GoalsAssists
- M. Touré50
Birmingham
GoalsAssists
- A. Priske61
- L. Millar43
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Norwich beat Birmingham 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Norwich at 42%. The goals: Oscar Schwartau 28' for Norwich, Papa Amadou Diallo 39' for Norwich, Carlos Vicente 64' for Birmingham.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.